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Page County, Virginia: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
899
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
0 / 0
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$11.6M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
24
1972 to 2026
NFIP flood insurance claims
180
1979 to 2024; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$3.6M
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Winter Weather, with 196 records.
  • The costliest single record is Flood in 1996: $2.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • FEMA has declared 24 disasters that named this county, most often for flood.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1996, with 110 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 24 disasters that named Page County between 1972 and 2026.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Page County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Flood51996
Hurricane52018
Snowstorm52016
Severe Storm32025
Biological22020
Drought21977
Fire12002
Winter Storm12026

Most recent declarations

  • EM-3631 2026 · Winter Storm · Severe Winter Storm
  • DR-4863 2025 · Severe Storm · Severe Winter Storms And Flooding
  • DR-4512 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3448 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • EM-3403 2018 · Hurricane · Hurricane Florence
  • DR-4262 2016 · Snowstorm · Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm
  • EM-3359 2012 · Hurricane · Hurricane Sandy
  • DR-4072 2012 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Straight-line Winds
  • DR-1905 2010 · Snowstorm · Severe Winter Storms And Snowstorms
  • DR-1874 2009 · Snowstorm · Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm

Not counted above: 3 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Virginia. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Page County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Winter Weather19600$0
Thunderstorm Wind15000$1.1M
Dense Fog12400$0
Winter Storm8600$5K
Frost/Freeze6500$0
Flood4300$5.5M
Hail4200$204K
Heat3000$0
Flash Flood2800$3.2M
Cold/Wind Chill2500$0
High Wind2200$595K
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill1600$0
Heavy Rain1500$0
Ice Storm1300$46K
Strong Wind1100$11K
Drought800$0
Excessive Heat600$0
Heavy Snow600$1K
Blizzard400$10K
Wildfire400$559K
Lightning200$3K
Tornado200$350K
Tropical Storm100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Page County each year. The busiest year was 2018, with 64 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Page County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996160$4.7M
1997100$0
1998180$41K
1999170$24K
2000340$28K
2001180$20K
2002220$15K
2003220$4.6M
2004120$20K
200580$0
2006120$65K
2007280$224K
2008200$475K
2009300$300K
2010140$30K
2011270$32K
2012320$14K
2013310$0
2014440$1K
2015350$0
2016590$0
2017190$5K
2018640$0
2019630$0
2020470$18K
2021430$29K
2022360$22K
2023240$66K
2024240$564K
2025540$259K
2026160$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Flood · Sep 6, 1996$2.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5572178
  2. Flood · Sep 18, 2003$2.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5335519
  3. Flash Flood · Sep 18, 2003$2.0M
    NOAA name: Page County · NOAA record 5335674
  4. Flood · Jan 19, 1996$1.5M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5541111
  5. Flash Flood · Jan 19, 1996$700K
    NOAA name: Page County · NOAA record 5541092

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $3.6M on 180 claims in Page County from 1979 to 2024.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Page County
YearClaimsPaid
1996110$2.8M
200331$358K
198520$401K
20183$11K
19923$0

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Page County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Hurricane / Tropical Storm31 NCEI event over 31 years (0.03/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Severe Thunderstorm3194 NCEI events over 31 years (6.26/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External386 NCEI events over 31 years (2.77/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3305 NCEI events over 31 years (9.84/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Temperature Extremes3142 NCEI events over 31 years (4.58/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
High Wind (non-convective)333 NCEI events over 31 years (1.06/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought28 NCEI events over 31 years (0.26/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Wild Fire24 NCEI events over 31 years (0.13/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Tornado12 NCEI events over 31 years (0.06/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Page County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Page County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 899 records, 276 were filed against this county and 623 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 4% of Virginia's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.