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Culpeper County, Virginia: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
836
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
5 / 10
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$8.9M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
23
1972 to 2026
NFIP flood insurance claims
44
1978 to 2022; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$739K
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Thunderstorm Wind, with 223 records.
  • The costliest single record is Winter Storm in 2003: $2.1M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Flood in 1996, with 4 deaths.
  • FEMA has declared 23 disasters that named this county, most often for hurricane.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1996, with 7 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 23 disasters that named Culpeper County between 1972 and 2026.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Culpeper County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Hurricane62018
Severe Storm52022
Snowstorm52016
Biological22020
Flood21972
Drought11977
Earthquake12011
Winter Storm12026

Most recent declarations

  • EM-3631 2026 · Winter Storm · Severe Winter Storm
  • DR-4644 2022 · Severe Storm · Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm
  • EM-3448 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4512 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3403 2018 · Hurricane · Hurricane Florence
  • DR-4262 2016 · Snowstorm · Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm
  • DR-4092 2012 · Hurricane · Hurricane Sandy
  • EM-3359 2012 · Hurricane · Hurricane Sandy
  • DR-4072 2012 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Straight-line Winds
  • DR-4042 2011 · Earthquake · Earthquake

Not counted above: 3 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Virginia. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Culpeper County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Thunderstorm Wind22300$1.1M
Flood10140$550K
Dense Fog10000$0
Winter Weather9200$15K
Flash Flood5500$283K
Heat4900$0
Hail4500$90K
Winter Storm3900$2.1M
Frost/Freeze3800$0
Heavy Rain1400$0
Strong Wind1200$18K
Drought1100$0
Tornado907$3.3M
Cold/Wind Chill800$0
Heavy Snow700$1K
High Wind702$1.3M
Excessive Heat600$0
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill600$0
Ice Storm500$20K
Lightning411$30K
Funnel Cloud300$0
Blizzard100$10K
Tropical Storm100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Culpeper County each year. The busiest year was 2018, with 80 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Culpeper County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996174$639K
199790$15K
1998230$130K
1999211$50K
2000260$47K
2001170$2.0M
2002210$9K
2003310$3.4M
2004130$1.2M
2005150$11K
2006220$74K
2007320$15K
2008230$55K
2009180$0
2010320$24K
2011500$51K
2012370$29K
2013270$5K
2014390$2K
2015240$3K
2016380$1K
2017220$0
2018800$150K
2019370$0
2020400$26K
2021310$59K
2022310$330K
2023160$50K
2024160$291K
2025220$257K
202660$1K

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Winter Storm · Feb 14, 2003$2.1M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5342886
  2. Tornado · Sep 24, 2001$2.0M
    NOAA name: Culpeper County · 2 injuries · NOAA record 5269850
  3. High Wind · Sep 18, 2003$1.2M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · 2 injuries · NOAA record 5335429
  4. Tornado · Sep 17, 2004$850K
    NOAA name: Culpeper County · NOAA record 5425654
  5. Flood · Sep 6, 1996$350K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5572189

Deadliest records

  1. Flood · Jan 19, 19964 deaths
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5541122
  2. Lightning · Apr 4, 19991 death
    NOAA name: Culpeper County · NOAA record 5695092

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $739K on 44 claims in Culpeper County from 1978 to 2022.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Culpeper County
YearClaimsPaid
19967$43K
20204$145K
20114$173K
19874$39K
20183$72K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Culpeper County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Hurricane / Tropical Storm31 NCEI event over 31 years (0.03/yr). 6 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Severe Thunderstorm3272 NCEI events over 31 years (8.77/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External3170 NCEI events over 31 years (5.48/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3144 NCEI events over 31 years (4.65/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Temperature Extremes3107 NCEI events over 31 years (3.45/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tornado29 NCEI events over 31 years (0.29/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought211 NCEI events over 31 years (0.35/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
High Wind (non-convective)219 NCEI events over 31 years (0.61/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake21 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Wild Fire1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Culpeper County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Culpeper County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 836 records, 443 were filed against this county and 393 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 4% of Virginia's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.