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Chesterfield County, Virginia: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
687
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
7 / 5
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$25.9M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
25
1969 to 2026
NFIP flood insurance claims
256
1978 to 2024; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$3.4M
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Thunderstorm Wind, with 274 records.
  • The costliest single record is Tropical Storm in 2003: $18.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Heat in 2018, with 2 deaths.
  • FEMA has declared 25 disasters that named this county, most often for hurricane.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 2004, with 49 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 25 disasters that named Chesterfield County between 1969 and 2026.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Chesterfield County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Hurricane102018
Flood31985
Snowstorm31996
Biological22020
Drought21977
Severe Storm22004
Freezing11977
Severe Ice Storm12021
Winter Storm12026

Most recent declarations

  • EM-3631 2026 · Winter Storm · Severe Winter Storm
  • DR-4602 2021 · Severe Ice Storm · Severe Winter Storms
  • EM-3448 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4512 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • DR-4411 2018 · Hurricane · Tropical Storm Michael
  • EM-3403 2018 · Hurricane · Hurricane Florence
  • DR-4401 2018 · Hurricane · Hurricane Florence
  • EM-3359 2012 · Hurricane · Hurricane Sandy
  • DR-4024 2011 · Hurricane · Hurricane Irene
  • EM-3240 2005 · Hurricane · Hurricane Katrina Evacuation

Not counted above: 3 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Virginia. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Chesterfield County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Thunderstorm Wind27401$1.0M
Hail10300$9K
Flash Flood9810$5.2M
Heavy Rain6600$0
Winter Weather4300$2K
Winter Storm3900$107K
Lightning1300$220K
Flood1100$0
Tornado811$1.0M
Frost/Freeze500$0
Heavy Snow500$2K
Strong Wind513$38K
Excessive Heat400$0
Funnel Cloud400$0
Heat320$0
Ice Storm300$125K
Tropical Storm220$18.1M
High Wind100$50K

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Chesterfield County each year. The busiest year was 2025, with 63 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Chesterfield County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996210$222K
199720$5K
199870$6K
199990$3.0M
2000120$82K
200140$4K
2002100$13K
2003161$18.0M
2004121$2.0M
2005100$24K
200690$76K
2007190$13K
2008150$17K
2009110$3K
2010350$135K
2011271$106K
2012150$135K
2013140$74K
2014170$18K
2015130$11K
2016250$20K
2017310$36K
2018474$1.1M
2019220$34K
2020490$66K
2021590$214K
2022290$52K
2023460$97K
2024330$73K
2025630$191K
202650$17K

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Tropical Storm · Sep 18, 2003$18.0M
    NOAA name: CHESTERFIELD · 1 death · NOAA record 5372457
  2. Flash Flood · Sep 16, 1999$3.0M
    NOAA name: CHESTERFIELD · NOAA record 5720124
  3. Flash Flood · Aug 30, 2004$2.0M
    NOAA name: CHESTERFIELD · 1 death · NOAA record 5421490
  4. Tornado · Sep 17, 2018$1.0M
    NOAA name: CHESTERFIELD · 1 death · 1 injury · NOAA record 786922
  5. Thunderstorm Wind · Jun 29, 2012$128K
    NOAA name: CHESTERFIELD · NOAA record 395480

Deadliest records

  1. Heat · May 10, 20182 deaths
    NOAA name: EASTERN CHESTERFIELD · NOAA record 757873
  2. Tropical Storm · Sep 18, 20031 death
    NOAA name: CHESTERFIELD · $18.0M damage · NOAA record 5372457
  3. Flash Flood · Aug 30, 20041 death
    NOAA name: CHESTERFIELD · $2.0M damage · NOAA record 5421490
  4. Tropical Storm · Aug 27, 20111 death
    NOAA name: CHESTERFIELD · $50K damage · NOAA record 345123
  5. Strong Wind · Mar 2, 20181 death
    NOAA name: EASTERN CHESTERFIELD · $20K damage · NOAA record 746515

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $3.4M on 256 claims in Chesterfield County from 1978 to 2024.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Chesterfield County
YearClaimsPaid
200449$1.4M
200327$212K
202025$438K
198524$183K
197919$122K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Chesterfield County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Hurricane / Tropical Storm32 NCEI events over 31 years (0.06/yr). 10 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Severe Thunderstorm3390 NCEI events over 31 years (12.58/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External3175 NCEI events over 31 years (5.65/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm390 NCEI events over 31 years (2.90/yr). 4 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Tornado28 NCEI events over 31 years (0.26/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Temperature Extremes212 NCEI events over 31 years (0.39/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Drought2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
High Wind (non-convective)26 NCEI events over 31 years (0.19/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Wild Fire1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Chesterfield County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events by county and others by forecast zone, and names both. Records are counted as Chesterfield County when their NOAA name is this county's name, alone or with a word like “Coastal” or “Inland” in front. The county codes NOAA also publishes have not been loaded for Virginia yet; when they are, this page will count by code instead, and some counties' records will grow. NOAA names counted here: CHESTERFIELD, EASTERN CHESTERFIELD, WESTERN CHESTERFIELD. Zones named for something else, such as a mountain range or two counties at once, are left out: 2% of Virginia's NOAA records.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.