Skip to contentCALCHIS

Gray County, Texas: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
991
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
17 / 28
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$24.3M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
16
1970 to 2025
NFIP flood insurance claims
5
1979 to 2010; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$8K
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Hail, with 388 records.
  • The costliest single record is Wildfire in 2006: $19.9M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Wildfire in 2006, with 12 deaths.
  • FEMA has declared 16 disasters that named this county, most often for fire.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1979, with 3 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 16 disasters that named Gray County between 1970 and 2025.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Gray County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Fire52025
Hurricane32005
Severe Ice Storm32021
Biological22020
Tornado21975
Severe Storm11998

Most recent declarations

  • FM-5555 2025 · Fire · Rest Area Fire
  • DR-4586 2021 · Severe Ice Storm · Severe Winter Storms
  • EM-3554 2021 · Severe Ice Storm · Severe Winter Storm
  • DR-4485 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3458 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • FM-5235 2018 · Fire · Mcclellan Fire
  • EM-3284 2008 · Fire · Wildfires
  • DR-1624 2005 · Fire · Extreme Wildfire Threat
  • DR-1606 2005 · Hurricane · Hurricane Rita
  • EM-3261 2005 · Hurricane · Hurricane Rita

Not counted above: 102 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Texas. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Gray County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Hail38800$465K
Thunderstorm Wind22002$1.5M
High Wind14300$25K
Drought6000$18K
Tornado3803$910K
Wildfire27159$20.3M
Winter Weather21113$400K
Cold/Wind Chill1800$0
Heavy Snow1501$30K
Flash Flood1400$9K
Winter Storm1400$20K
Dense Fog800$0
Blizzard400$660K
Freezing Fog400$0
Flood300$0
Heavy Rain300$0
Ice Storm300$0
Funnel Cloud200$0
Sleet200$0
Dust Storm100$0
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill100$0
Frost/Freeze100$0
Lightning110$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Gray County each year. The busiest year was 2007, with 65 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Gray County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996290$80K
1997240$2K
199890$600K
1999230$0
2000281$43K
2001120$100K
200290$75K
2003200$75K
2004140$350K
2005270$94K
20063212$20.0M
2007651$816K
2008360$35K
2009580$170K
2010220$0
2011270$52K
2012510$508K
2013400$677K
2014500$0
2015450$100K
2016270$0
2017343$0
2018490$0
2019390$0
2020430$90K
2021430$102K
2022340$0
2023530$15K
2024180$322K
2025170$12K
2026130$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Wildfire · Mar 12, 2006$19.9M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · 12 deaths · 8 injuries · NOAA record 5496254
  2. Blizzard · Feb 24, 2013$660K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 437619
  3. Thunderstorm Wind · May 15, 1998$575K
    NOAA name: Gray County · 1 injury · NOAA record 5654140
  4. Winter Weather · Dec 22, 2007$400K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · 1 death · 13 injuries · NOAA record 68363
  5. Hail · Jun 21, 2004$350K
    NOAA name: Gray County · NOAA record 5410357

Deadliest records

  1. Wildfire · Mar 12, 200612 deaths
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · $19.9M damage · 8 injuries · NOAA record 5496254
  2. Wildfire · Mar 6, 20173 deaths
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 687309
  3. Lightning · Jun 1, 20001 death
    NOAA name: Gray County · NOAA record 5149349
  4. Winter Weather · Dec 22, 20071 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · $400K damage · 13 injuries · NOAA record 68363

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $8K on 5 claims in Gray County from 1979 to 2010.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Gray County
YearClaimsPaid
19793$4K
20101$4K
20021$0

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Gray County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Hurricane / Tropical Storm3No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Tornado338 NCEI events over 31 years (1.23/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Severe Thunderstorm3609 NCEI events over 31 years (19.65/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm363 NCEI events over 31 years (2.03/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Drought360 NCEI events over 31 years (1.94/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Wild Fire327 NCEI events over 31 years (0.87/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
High Wind (non-convective)3143 NCEI events over 31 years (4.61/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Flood, External220 NCEI events over 31 years (0.65/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Temperature Extremes220 NCEI events over 31 years (0.65/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Gray County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Gray County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 991 records, 669 were filed against this county and 322 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 1% of Texas's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

Related

Responsible for Gray County?

This page is the record of what has happened. Calchis also watches live NWS, USGS and NHC feeds against the places you name and alerts you when an event approaches them.

Free includes Live map + 3 triggers + 10 bond positions. Analyst is $149/mo for 1,000-location portfolios, ep curves, predictions, parametric triggers.

Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.