Carson County, Texas: hazard history
What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.
At a glance
What this means
- The event NOAA recorded most often here is Hail, with 473 records.
- The costliest single record is Wildfire in 2006: $30.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
- The deadliest record is Winter Weather in 2005, with 1 death.
- FEMA has declared 15 disasters that named this county, most often for fire.
- The worst year for flood insurance claims was 2015, with 1 claims.
What this can't tell you
- What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
- Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
- Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
- A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
- Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.
Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)
FEMA declared 15 disasters that named Carson County between 1992 and 2021.
| Incident type | Disasters | Most recent |
|---|---|---|
| Fire | 5 | 2021 |
| Hurricane | 3 | 2005 |
| Severe Ice Storm | 3 | 2021 |
| Biological | 2 | 2020 |
| Severe Storm | 1 | 1998 |
| Tornado | 1 | 1992 |
Most recent declarations
- FM-5422 2021 · Fire · North 207 Fire
- DR-4586 2021 · Severe Ice Storm · Severe Winter Storms
- EM-3554 2021 · Severe Ice Storm · Severe Winter Storm
- EM-3458 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
- DR-4485 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
- DR-1999 2011 · Fire · Wildfires
- EM-3284 2008 · Fire · Wildfires
- DR-1624 2005 · Fire · Extreme Wildfire Threat
- DR-1606 2005 · Hurricane · Hurricane Rita
- EM-3261 2005 · Hurricane · Hurricane Rita
Not counted above: 102 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Texas. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.
Storms recorded by NOAA, by type
| Event type | Records | Deaths | Injuries | Property damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | 473 | 0 | 0 | $607K |
| Thunderstorm Wind | 150 | 0 | 5 | $766K |
| High Wind | 78 | 0 | 1 | $30K |
| Drought | 68 | 0 | 0 | $18K |
| Wildfire | 43 | 0 | 4 | $30.1M |
| Tornado | 40 | 0 | 0 | $395K |
| Winter Weather | 27 | 3 | 1 | $46K |
| Cold/Wind Chill | 17 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Heavy Snow | 17 | 0 | 0 | $40K |
| Flash Flood | 16 | 0 | 0 | $2K |
| Winter Storm | 13 | 0 | 0 | $20K |
| Flood | 9 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Dense Fog | 8 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Dust Storm | 6 | 2 | 0 | $0 |
| Heavy Rain | 6 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Blizzard | 5 | 0 | 0 | $660K |
| Frost/Freeze | 3 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Ice Storm | 3 | 0 | 0 | $13K |
| Extreme Cold/Wind Chill | 2 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Freezing Fog | 2 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Funnel Cloud | 1 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Lightning | 1 | 0 | 0 | $125K |
| Sleet | 1 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.
Year by year
NOAA storm event records in Carson County each year. The busiest year was 2013, with 59 records.
Show the numbers for every year
| Year | Records | Deaths | Property damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | 37 | 0 | $0 |
| 1997 | 29 | 0 | $100K |
| 1998 | 10 | 0 | $20K |
| 1999 | 24 | 0 | $126K |
| 2000 | 34 | 0 | $190K |
| 2001 | 50 | 0 | $350K |
| 2002 | 38 | 0 | $155K |
| 2003 | 11 | 0 | $25K |
| 2004 | 12 | 0 | $0 |
| 2005 | 29 | 1 | $43K |
| 2006 | 37 | 0 | $30.0M |
| 2007 | 40 | 1 | $131K |
| 2008 | 32 | 0 | $514K |
| 2009 | 57 | 0 | $39K |
| 2010 | 22 | 0 | $16K |
| 2011 | 9 | 1 | $171K |
| 2012 | 28 | 0 | $50K |
| 2013 | 59 | 0 | $660K |
| 2014 | 43 | 0 | $20K |
| 2015 | 42 | 1 | $0 |
| 2016 | 47 | 1 | $0 |
| 2017 | 32 | 0 | $0 |
| 2018 | 38 | 0 | $0 |
| 2019 | 39 | 0 | $0 |
| 2020 | 33 | 0 | $25K |
| 2021 | 28 | 0 | $0 |
| 2022 | 37 | 0 | $0 |
| 2023 | 39 | 0 | $20K |
| 2024 | 20 | 0 | $62K |
| 2025 | 25 | 0 | $87K |
| 2026 | 8 | 0 | $0 |
Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.
Notable events
Costliest records
- Wildfire · Mar 12, 2006$30.0MNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5496255
- Blizzard · Feb 24, 2013$660KNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 437626
- Hail · Jun 19, 2008$500KNOAA name: Carson County · NOAA record 118803
- Tornado · May 29, 2001$250KNOAA name: Carson County · NOAA record 5246078
- Thunderstorm Wind · Mar 7, 2000$150KNOAA name: Carson County · NOAA record 5136241
Deadliest records
- Winter Weather · Dec 18, 20051 deathNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · $21K damage · 1 injury · NOAA record 5484016
- Winter Weather · Nov 24, 20071 deathNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 65115
- Winter Weather · Dec 25, 20111 deathNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · $25K damage · NOAA record 356679
- Dust Storm · May 27, 20151 deathNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 582211
- Dust Storm · Jun 15, 20161 deathNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 649272
Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.
Flood insurance claims (NFIP)
The National Flood Insurance Program paid $36K on 3 claims in Carson County from 2000 to 2015.
| Year | Claims | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 1 | $35K |
| 2008 | 1 | $1K |
| 2000 | 1 | $0 |
A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.
Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Carson County
A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.
| Hazard | Prob. | Basis, from the county record |
|---|---|---|
| Hurricane / Tropical Storm | 3 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Tornado | 3 | 40 NCEI events over 31 years (1.29/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county. |
| Severe Thunderstorm | 3 | 624 NCEI events over 31 years (20.13/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county. |
| Flood, External | 3 | 31 NCEI events over 31 years (1.00/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm | 3 | 68 NCEI events over 31 years (2.19/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Drought | 3 | 68 NCEI events over 31 years (2.19/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Wild Fire | 3 | 43 NCEI events over 31 years (1.39/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| High Wind (non-convective) | 3 | 78 NCEI events over 31 years (2.52/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Temperature Extremes | 2 | 22 NCEI events over 31 years (0.71/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Epidemic | 2 | 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Earthquake | 1 | No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Landslide | 1 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Tidal Wave / Tsunami | 1 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Volcano | 1 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Dam Inundation | 1 | No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Carson County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.
How this page was made
- Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
- NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Carson County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 989 records, 696 were filed against this county and 293 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 1% of Texas's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
- Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.
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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.