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Trumbull County, Ohio: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
735
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
1 / 44
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$119.5M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
12
1969 to 2020
NFIP flood insurance claims
402
1978 to 2024; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$3.7M
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Thunderstorm Wind, with 342 records.
  • The costliest single record is Flood in 2003: $32.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Flash Flood in 2003, with 1 death.
  • FEMA has declared 12 disasters that named this county, most often for severe storm.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 2003, with 142 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 12 disasters that named Trumbull County between 1969 and 2020.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Trumbull County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Severe Storm42012
Tornado32003
Biological22020
Hurricane12005
Other12003
Snowstorm11978

Most recent declarations

  • EM-3457 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4507 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3346 2012 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms
  • EM-3250 2005 · Hurricane · Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
  • DR-1556 2004 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • EM-3187 2003 · Other · Power Outage
  • DR-1484 2003 · Tornado · Tornadoes, Flooding, Severe Storms, And High Winds
  • DR-951 1992 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding
  • DR-870 1990 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding
  • DR-738 1985 · Tornado · Severe Storms & Tornadoes

Not counted above: 3 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Ohio. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Trumbull County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Thunderstorm Wind342040$6.0M
Hail15900$840K
High Wind4302$8.1M
Flash Flood4110$55.3M
Winter Storm3602$8.7M
Flood3100$34.7M
Heavy Snow2200$2.6M
Tornado1100$880K
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill900$200K
Lake-Effect Snow900$825K
Strong Wind800$292K
Drought600$0
Winter Weather400$0
Ice Storm300$950K
Cold/Wind Chill200$65K
Funnel Cloud200$0
Heat200$0
Heavy Rain200$0
Lightning200$155K
Dust Devil100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Trumbull County each year. The busiest year was 2011, with 54 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Trumbull County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996380$1.8M
1997220$165K
1998200$116K
1999300$652K
2000200$640K
2001120$170K
2002280$820K
2003401$77.6M
2004230$7.4M
2005170$2.2M
2006160$139K
2007150$706K
2008430$8.1M
2009110$1.5M
2010290$1.8M
2011540$2.1M
2012420$1.1M
2013220$3.4M
2014200$848K
201580$582K
201670$378K
2017230$1.3M
2018200$404K
2019400$4.7M
2020230$90K
2021210$201K
2022150$250K
2023150$35K
2024370$225K
202590$20K
2026150$187K

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Flood · Jul 21, 2003$32.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5376268
  2. Flash Flood · Jul 21, 2003$25.0M
    NOAA name: Trumbull County · NOAA record 5378142
  3. Flash Flood · Jul 21, 2003$12.0M
    NOAA name: Trumbull County · 1 death · NOAA record 5378141
  4. Flash Flood · Jul 27, 2003$6.0M
    NOAA name: Trumbull County · NOAA record 5375514
  5. High Wind · Sep 14, 2008$5.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 136416

Deadliest records

  1. Flash Flood · Jul 21, 20031 death
    NOAA name: Trumbull County · $12.0M damage · NOAA record 5378141

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $3.7M on 402 claims in Trumbull County from 1978 to 2024.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Trumbull County
YearClaimsPaid
2003142$1.5M
201346$601K
197933$90K
200422$200K
201118$219K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Trumbull County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Tornado311 NCEI events over 31 years (0.35/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Severe Thunderstorm3503 NCEI events over 31 years (16.23/yr). 4 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External374 NCEI events over 31 years (2.39/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm374 NCEI events over 31 years (2.39/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
High Wind (non-convective)351 NCEI events over 31 years (1.65/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Hurricane / Tropical Storm2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Temperature Extremes213 NCEI events over 31 years (0.42/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought26 NCEI events over 31 years (0.19/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Wild Fire1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Trumbull County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Trumbull County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 735 records, 571 were filed against this county and 164 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.