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Ashtabula County, Ohio: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
712
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
4 / 8
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$94.9M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
15
1969 to 2020
NFIP flood insurance claims
142
1978 to 2024; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$1.9M
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Thunderstorm Wind, with 214 records.
  • The costliest single record is Flash Flood in 2006: $12.8M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Thunderstorm Wind in 1996, with 2 deaths.
  • FEMA has declared 15 disasters that named this county, most often for severe storm.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 2006, with 19 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 15 disasters that named Ashtabula County between 1969 and 2020.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Ashtabula County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Severe Storm32012
Snowstorm32008
Biological22020
Flood21973
Hurricane22012
Tornado21985
Other12003

Most recent declarations

  • DR-4507 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3457 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4098 2012 · Hurricane · Severe Storms And Flooding Due To The Remnants Of Hurricane Sandy
  • EM-3346 2012 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms
  • EM-3286 2008 · Snowstorm · Record Snow And Near Record Snow
  • DR-1656 2006 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Straight Line Winds, And Flooding
  • EM-3250 2005 · Hurricane · Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
  • DR-1556 2004 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • EM-3187 2003 · Other · Power Outage
  • DR-738 1985 · Tornado · Severe Storms & Tornadoes

Not counted above: 3 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Ohio. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Ashtabula County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Thunderstorm Wind21422$4.0M
Hail8800$325K
Lake-Effect Snow7900$9.3M
Winter Storm7802$18.7M
High Wind6500$7.7M
Heavy Snow6200$6.8M
Flash Flood4100$25.6M
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill1800$2.0M
Strong Wind1100$293K
Flood900$16.6M
Lightning804$307K
Winter Weather700$100K
Drought600$0
Waterspout500$0
Funnel Cloud400$0
Tornado400$2.5M
Cold/Wind Chill200$35K
Heat200$0
Heavy Rain200$0
Ice Storm200$435K
Rip Current220$0
Blizzard100$0
Coastal Flood100$85K
Lakeshore Flood100$100K

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Ashtabula County each year. The busiest year was 1996, with 43 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Ashtabula County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996432$2.7M
1997220$577K
1998250$230K
1999340$1.2M
2000360$2.3M
2001120$550K
2002420$1.2M
2003190$2.2M
2004250$5.1M
2005230$2.2M
2006210$21.3M
2007250$1.3M
2008350$14.9M
2009240$2.9M
2010230$3.1M
2011350$2.2M
2012360$3.9M
2013220$923K
2014190$1.3M
201580$375K
2016180$1.9M
2017190$3.6M
2018140$1.0M
2019260$467K
2020140$15.4M
2021170$125K
2022170$0
2023121$0
2024321$2.0M
2025130$100K
202610$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Flash Flood · Jul 28, 2006$12.8M
    NOAA name: Ashtabula County · NOAA record 5526613
  2. Flood · Feb 1, 2020$10.0M
    NOAA name: Ashtabula County · NOAA record 877748
  3. Flash Flood · Jul 22, 2006$7.5M
    NOAA name: Ashtabula County · NOAA record 5526769
  4. Winter Storm · Mar 4, 2008$5.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 90723
  5. Flood · Mar 1, 2020$5.0M
    NOAA name: Ashtabula County · NOAA record 877820

Deadliest records

  1. Thunderstorm Wind · Apr 12, 19962 deaths
    NOAA name: Ashtabula County · $100K damage · NOAA record 5555451
  2. Rip Current · Jul 29, 20231 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 1144992
  3. Rip Current · Jun 7, 20241 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 1198387

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $1.9M on 142 claims in Ashtabula County from 1978 to 2024.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Ashtabula County
YearClaimsPaid
200619$879K
197915$6K
198911$72K
19819$14K
20088$172K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Ashtabula County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Severe Thunderstorm3310 NCEI events over 31 years (10.00/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External354 NCEI events over 31 years (1.74/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3229 NCEI events over 31 years (7.39/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
High Wind (non-convective)376 NCEI events over 31 years (2.45/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Hurricane / Tropical Storm2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Tornado24 NCEI events over 31 years (0.13/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Temperature Extremes222 NCEI events over 31 years (0.71/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought26 NCEI events over 31 years (0.19/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Wild Fire1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Ashtabula County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Ashtabula County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 712 records, 368 were filed against this county and 344 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.