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Cascade County, Montana: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
1,065
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
4 / 6
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$637K
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
7
1975 to 2020
NFIP flood insurance claims
260
1978 to 2023; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$874K
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is High Wind, with 333 records.
  • The costliest single record is Flash Flood in 2003: $250K in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is High Wind in 2002, with 2 deaths.
  • FEMA has declared 7 disasters that named this county, most often for biological.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1981, with 60 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 7 disasters that named Cascade County between 1975 and 2020.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Cascade County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Biological22020
Flood21981
Fire12000
Hurricane12005
Severe Storm12011

Most recent declarations

  • DR-4508 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3476 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-1996 2011 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • EM-3253 2005 · Hurricane · Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
  • DR-1340 2000 · Fire · Wildfires
  • DR-640 1981 · Flood · Severe Storms & Flooding
  • DR-472 1975 · Flood · Rains, Showmelt, Storms & Flooding

Not counted above: 32 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Montana. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Cascade County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
High Wind33324$23K
Thunderstorm Wind21700$102K
Hail19701$4K
Heavy Snow9900$0
Winter Storm8500$0
Heavy Rain3700$0
Flood1720$140K
Flash Flood1500$300K
Winter Weather1500$0
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill900$0
Funnel Cloud800$0
Blizzard700$0
Wildfire700$0
Cold/Wind Chill500$0
Lightning401$20K
Strong Wind400$20K
Dense Fog300$0
Tornado200$28K
Ice Storm100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Cascade County each year. The busiest year was 2022, with 100 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Cascade County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996220$2K
1997210$0
1998100$29K
199910$0
2000280$30K
2001290$0
2002392$0
2003340$335K
2004220$12K
2005160$80K
2006190$3K
2007330$0
2008270$3K
2009150$0
2010210$0
2011350$0
2012280$0
2013720$0
2014730$0
2015160$0
2016240$0
2017420$0
2018410$0
2019730$10K
2020450$0
2021500$0
20221000$0
2023352$110K
2024310$0
2025420$1K
2026210$22K

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Flash Flood · Jun 19, 2003$250K
    NOAA name: CASCADE · NOAA record 5366457
  2. Flood · Jun 3, 2005$80K
    NOAA name: CASCADE · NOAA record 5454863
  3. Thunderstorm Wind · Jun 19, 2003$60K
    NOAA name: CASCADE · NOAA record 5366453
  4. Flood · May 17, 2023$60K
    NOAA name: CASCADE · 2 deaths · NOAA record 1102212
  5. Flash Flood · Jun 5, 2023$50K
    NOAA name: CASCADE · NOAA record 1105458

Deadliest records

  1. High Wind · Jan 12, 20022 deaths
    NOAA name: CASCADE · 4 injuries · NOAA record 5276997
  2. Flood · May 17, 20232 deaths
    NOAA name: CASCADE · $60K damage · NOAA record 1102212

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $874K on 260 claims in Cascade County from 1978 to 2023.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Cascade County
YearClaimsPaid
198160$99K
201146$212K
199744$86K
198023$16K
197820$53K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Cascade County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Severe Thunderstorm3418 NCEI events over 31 years (13.48/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Flood, External369 NCEI events over 31 years (2.23/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3207 NCEI events over 31 years (6.68/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
High Wind (non-convective)3337 NCEI events over 31 years (10.87/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Hurricane / Tropical Storm2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Temperature Extremes214 NCEI events over 31 years (0.45/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Wild Fire27 NCEI events over 31 years (0.23/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Tornado12 NCEI events over 31 years (0.06/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Cascade County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events by county and others by forecast zone, and names both. Records are counted as Cascade County when their NOAA name is this county's name, alone or with a word like “Coastal” or “Inland” in front. The county codes NOAA also publishes have not been loaded for Montana yet; when they are, this page will count by code instead, and some counties' records will grow. NOAA names counted here: CASCADE, CASCADE COUNTY BELOW 5000FT. Zones named for something else, such as a mountain range or two counties at once, are left out: 24% of Montana's NOAA records.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.