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Ogle County, Illinois: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
536
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
4 / 9
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$12.0M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
14
1973 to 2020
NFIP flood insurance claims
305
1978 to 2024; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$3.1M
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Thunderstorm Wind, with 224 records.
  • The costliest single record is Tornado in 2015: $10.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Dense Fog in 2015, with 2 deaths.
  • FEMA has declared 14 disasters that named this county, most often for snowstorm.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1996, with 73 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 14 disasters that named Ogle County between 1973 and 2020.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Ogle County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Snowstorm52011
Flood42013
Biological22020
Severe Storm22010
Hurricane12005

Most recent declarations

  • EM-3435 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4489 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • DR-4116 2013 · Flood · Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, And Flooding
  • DR-1960 2011 · Snowstorm · Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm
  • DR-1935 2010 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • EM-3283 2008 · Snowstorm · Record Snow And Near Record Snow
  • EM-3269 2006 · Snowstorm · Snow
  • EM-3230 2005 · Hurricane · Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
  • EM-3161 2000 · Snowstorm · Illinois Winter Snow Storms
  • DR-1129 1996 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding

Not counted above: 2 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Illinois. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Ogle County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Thunderstorm Wind22406$1.0M
Hail8700$30K
Winter Storm3010$0
Flash Flood2600$619K
Winter Weather2400$0
Flood2200$0
Tornado2000$10.2M
Drought1700$0
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill1510$0
High Wind1301$55K
Cold/Wind Chill1200$0
Heavy Snow1000$0
Funnel Cloud600$0
Blizzard500$0
Excessive Heat500$0
Ice Storm500$0
Lightning402$35K
Heat300$0
Dense Fog220$100K
Heavy Rain200$0
Strong Wind200$10K
Frost/Freeze100$0
Sleet100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Ogle County each year. The busiest year was 2008, with 36 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Ogle County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996140$0
199770$0
1998100$0
199990$0
2000160$0
200140$0
2002100$10K
2003120$0
2004110$0
2005140$0
2006260$25K
2007290$59K
2008360$450K
2009161$372K
2010311$763K
2011200$160K
2012120$12K
2013130$150K
2014150$0
2015122$10.0M
201660$0
2017140$20K
2018170$5K
2019160$5K
2020210$0
2021230$0
2022280$0
2023240$0
2024290$0
2025260$1K
2026150$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Tornado · Apr 9, 2015$10.0M
    NOAA name: Ogle County · NOAA record 574337
  2. Thunderstorm Wind · Aug 4, 2008$300K
    NOAA name: Ogle County · NOAA record 131240
  3. Flash Flood · Jul 24, 2010$268K
    NOAA name: Ogle County · NOAA record 254377
  4. Flash Flood · Jun 22, 2009$250K
    NOAA name: Ogle County · NOAA record 185558
  5. Thunderstorm Wind · Apr 10, 2013$150K
    NOAA name: Ogle County · NOAA record 438760

Deadliest records

  1. Dense Fog · Mar 9, 20152 deaths
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 565144
  2. Extreme Cold/Wind Chill · Jan 4, 20091 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 150423
  3. Winter Storm · Dec 11, 20101 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 270813

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $3.1M on 305 claims in Ogle County from 1978 to 2024.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Ogle County
YearClaimsPaid
199673$731K
201031$681K
198519$86K
200018$164K
199417$175K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Ogle County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Severe Thunderstorm3315 NCEI events over 31 years (10.16/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External350 NCEI events over 31 years (1.61/yr). 4 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm375 NCEI events over 31 years (2.42/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Temperature Extremes336 NCEI events over 31 years (1.16/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Hurricane / Tropical Storm2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Tornado220 NCEI events over 31 years (0.65/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought217 NCEI events over 31 years (0.55/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
High Wind (non-convective)215 NCEI events over 31 years (0.48/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Wild Fire1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Ogle County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Ogle County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 536 records, 387 were filed against this county and 149 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 1% of Illinois's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.