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Modoc County, California: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
461
1997 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
1 / 0
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$334.3M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
17
1964 to 2023
NFIP flood insurance claims
0
None on record
NFIP payments on those claims
$0
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Frost/Freeze, with 116 records.
  • The costliest single record is Flood in 1997: $330.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Wildfire in 2015, with 1 death.
  • FEMA has declared 17 disasters that named this county, most often for flood.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 17 disasters that named Modoc County between 1964 and 2023.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Modoc County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Flood72017
Severe Storm52023
Biological22020
Drought11977
Fire12014
Hurricane12005

Most recent declarations

  • DR-4699 2023 · Severe Storm · Severe Winter Storms, Straight-line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides
  • DR-4482 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3428 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4431 2019 · Severe Storm · Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides
  • DR-4308 2017 · Flood · Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, And Mudslides
  • DR-4305 2017 · Flood · Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, And Mudslides
  • FM-5070 2014 · Fire · Day Fire
  • EM-3248 2005 · Hurricane · Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
  • DR-1155 1996 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Flooding, Mud And Landslides
  • DR-1046 1995 · Severe Storm · Severe Winter Storms, Flooding Landslides, Mud Flow

Not counted above: 34 statewide declarations, which covered every county in California. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Modoc County, 1997 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Frost/Freeze11600$0
High Wind8700$30K
Heavy Snow8100$0
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill5500$0
Wildfire3310$1.0M
Winter Storm1800$0
Winter Weather1100$0
Flood1000$333.3M
Strong Wind900$200
Excessive Heat800$0
Cold/Wind Chill700$0
Heavy Rain700$0
Thunderstorm Wind700$36K
Blizzard400$0
Flash Flood400$0
Hail300$0
Lightning100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Modoc County each year. The busiest year was 2003, with 31 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Modoc County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
199730$330.0M
199820$0
199970$16K
2000180$0
2001270$0
2002250$2K
2003310$10K
2004150$0
200580$2.3M
2006160$0
2007150$0
2008250$3K
2009110$100
2010150$0
2011100$35K
2012280$0
2013100$0
2014160$1.0M
2015201$0
2016150$0
2017290$0
2018160$0
2019180$0
2020120$0
2021100$0
2022110$0
202350$0
2024210$0
2025180$1.0M
202640$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Flood · Jan 1, 1997$330.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5590161
  2. Flood · May 8, 2005$2.3M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5446645
  3. Wildfire · Aug 1, 2014$1.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 528847
  4. Flood · Feb 3, 2025$1.0M
    NOAA name: Modoc County · NOAA record 1230683
  5. Thunderstorm Wind · Jul 6, 2011$20K
    NOAA name: Modoc County · NOAA record 330288

Deadliest records

  1. Wildfire · Jul 30, 20151 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 585274

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

No National Flood Insurance Program claims are on record for Modoc County.

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Modoc County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1997 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Severe Thunderstorm311 NCEI events over 30 years (0.37/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External321 NCEI events over 30 years (0.70/yr). 7 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3114 NCEI events over 30 years (3.80/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Temperature Extremes3186 NCEI events over 30 years (6.20/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Wild Fire333 NCEI events over 30 years (1.10/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
High Wind (non-convective)396 NCEI events over 30 years (3.20/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Hurricane / Tropical Storm2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 30 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Drought2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 30 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Tornado1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 30 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 30 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 30 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 30 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Modoc County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Modoc County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 461 records, 30 were filed against this county and 431 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 29% of California's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.