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Prairie County, Arkansas: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
409
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
2 / 1
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$44.8M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
22
1969 to 2026
NFIP flood insurance claims
86
1979 to 2017; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$2.7M
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Thunderstorm Wind, with 115 records.
  • The costliest single record is Flood in 2011: $15.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Winter Weather in 2009, with 1 death.
  • FEMA has declared 22 disasters that named this county, most often for severe storm.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 2011, with 46 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 22 disasters that named Prairie County between 1969 and 2026.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Prairie County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Severe Storm102025
Hurricane32020
Severe Ice Storm32009
Biological22020
Flood22025
Tornado11988
Winter Storm12026

Most recent declarations

  • EM-3636 2026 · Winter Storm · Severe Winter Storm
  • DR-4873 2025 · Flood · Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
  • EM-3627 2025 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
  • EM-3541 2020 · Hurricane · Hurricane Laura
  • EM-3461 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4518 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • DR-4318 2017 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, And Flooding
  • DR-4270 2016 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, And Flooding
  • DR-1975 2011 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Associated Flooding
  • DR-1872 2009 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding

Not counted above: 6 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Arkansas. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Prairie County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Thunderstorm Wind11501$900K
Hail6400$0
Flood5810$26.3M
Flash Flood3500$848K
Winter Weather2710$0
Winter Storm2200$1.2M
Tornado2100$12.3M
Drought1500$0
Heat900$0
Funnel Cloud700$0
Ice Storm600$200K
Strong Wind600$120K
Heavy Rain500$1.2M
Heavy Snow500$0
Lightning300$332K
Tropical Depression300$750K
Frost/Freeze200$0
High Wind200$250K
Tropical Storm200$375K
Excessive Heat100$0
Sleet100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Prairie County each year. The busiest year was 2012, with 35 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Prairie County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996120$0
199790$30K
1998130$0
1999150$0
2000140$0
200190$0
200290$0
200380$0
2004100$12.2M
200580$0
200640$0
2007130$84K
2008250$12.6M
2009271$1.5M
2010230$182K
2011311$15.4M
2012350$2.0M
2013110$50K
2014130$375K
2015100$100K
201640$0
2017100$0
2018140$55K
2019170$25K
2020120$0
202180$0
2022180$100K
202380$0
202460$0
2025110$0
202620$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Flood · May 1, 2011$15.0M
    NOAA name: Prairie County · 1 death · NOAA record 309097
  2. Tornado · Oct 18, 2004$12.2M
    NOAA name: Prairie County · NOAA record 5426201
  3. Flood · Mar 18, 2008$10.0M
    NOAA name: Prairie County · NOAA record 89326
  4. Heavy Rain · Jul 22, 2008$1.2M
    NOAA name: Prairie County · NOAA record 105727
  5. Flood · Dec 24, 2009$1.0M
    NOAA name: Prairie County · NOAA record 202250

Deadliest records

  1. Winter Weather · Feb 28, 20091 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 148921
  2. Flood · May 1, 20111 death
    NOAA name: Prairie County · $15.0M damage · NOAA record 309097

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $2.7M on 86 claims in Prairie County from 1979 to 2017.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Prairie County
YearClaimsPaid
201146$2.0M
201724$438K
200810$160K
19892$388
20091$50K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Prairie County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Hurricane / Tropical Storm35 NCEI events over 31 years (0.16/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Severe Thunderstorm3182 NCEI events over 31 years (5.87/yr). 10 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External398 NCEI events over 31 years (3.16/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm361 NCEI events over 31 years (1.97/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Tornado221 NCEI events over 31 years (0.68/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Temperature Extremes212 NCEI events over 31 years (0.39/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought215 NCEI events over 31 years (0.48/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
High Wind (non-convective)28 NCEI events over 31 years (0.26/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Wild Fire1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Prairie County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Prairie County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 409 records, 308 were filed against this county and 101 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 5% of Arkansas's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.