Johnson County, Arkansas: hazard history
What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.
At a glance
What this means
- The event NOAA recorded most often here is Thunderstorm Wind, with 210 records.
- The costliest single record is Ice Storm in 2009: $25.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
- The deadliest record is Flash Flood in 1997, with 1 death.
- FEMA has declared 26 disasters that named this county, most often for severe storm.
- The worst year for flood insurance claims was 2015, with 2 claims.
What this can't tell you
- What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
- Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
- Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
- A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
- Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.
Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)
FEMA declared 26 disasters that named Johnson County between 1972 and 2026.
| Incident type | Disasters | Most recent |
|---|---|---|
| Severe Storm | 9 | 2025 |
| Flood | 5 | 2019 |
| Severe Ice Storm | 4 | 2013 |
| Biological | 2 | 2020 |
| Hurricane | 2 | 2020 |
| Tornado | 2 | 1988 |
| Drought | 1 | 1976 |
| Winter Storm | 1 | 2026 |
Most recent declarations
- EM-3636 2026 · Winter Storm · Severe Winter Storm
- EM-3627 2025 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
- EM-3541 2020 · Hurricane · Hurricane Laura
- DR-4518 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
- EM-3461 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
- EM-3414 2019 · Flood · Severe Storms And Flooding
- DR-4441 2019 · Flood · Severe Storms And Flooding
- DR-4226 2015 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, And Flooding
- DR-4160 2013 · Severe Ice Storm · Severe Winter Storm
- DR-4000 2011 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding
Not counted above: 6 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Arkansas. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.
Storms recorded by NOAA, by type
| Event type | Records | Deaths | Injuries | Property damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunderstorm Wind | 210 | 0 | 0 | $1.6M |
| Hail | 139 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Flash Flood | 53 | 1 | 0 | $2.4M |
| Winter Weather | 44 | 0 | 0 | $150K |
| Tornado | 20 | 3 | 19 | $18.6M |
| Winter Storm | 20 | 0 | 0 | $1.4M |
| Drought | 13 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Heat | 9 | 1 | 0 | $0 |
| Heavy Snow | 8 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Frost/Freeze | 7 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Ice Storm | 7 | 0 | 0 | $25.0M |
| Strong Wind | 6 | 0 | 0 | $107K |
| Lightning | 5 | 0 | 0 | $250K |
| Wildfire | 4 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Flood | 3 | 0 | 0 | $525K |
| Heavy Rain | 3 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| High Wind | 2 | 0 | 0 | $250K |
| Tropical Depression | 2 | 0 | 0 | $500K |
| Tropical Storm | 2 | 0 | 0 | $375K |
| Excessive Heat | 1 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Funnel Cloud | 1 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone.
Year by year
NOAA storm event records in Johnson County each year. The busiest year was 2004, with 32 records.
Show the numbers for every year
| Year | Records | Deaths | Property damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | 21 | 0 | $120K |
| 1997 | 9 | 1 | $2K |
| 1998 | 24 | 0 | $20K |
| 1999 | 32 | 0 | $0 |
| 2000 | 23 | 0 | $0 |
| 2001 | 18 | 1 | $5K |
| 2002 | 13 | 0 | $0 |
| 2003 | 20 | 0 | $0 |
| 2004 | 32 | 0 | $0 |
| 2005 | 14 | 0 | $0 |
| 2006 | 22 | 0 | $0 |
| 2007 | 20 | 0 | $130K |
| 2008 | 26 | 0 | $725K |
| 2009 | 27 | 0 | $27.8M |
| 2010 | 15 | 1 | $146K |
| 2011 | 25 | 2 | $19.3M |
| 2012 | 28 | 0 | $667K |
| 2013 | 21 | 0 | $1.4M |
| 2014 | 20 | 0 | $352K |
| 2015 | 9 | 0 | $100K |
| 2016 | 5 | 0 | $26K |
| 2017 | 16 | 0 | $180K |
| 2018 | 24 | 0 | $12K |
| 2019 | 20 | 0 | $25K |
| 2020 | 15 | 0 | $0 |
| 2021 | 7 | 0 | $0 |
| 2022 | 13 | 0 | $95K |
| 2023 | 13 | 0 | $0 |
| 2024 | 12 | 0 | $0 |
| 2025 | 10 | 0 | $0 |
| 2026 | 5 | 0 | $0 |
Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.
Notable events
Costliest records
- Ice Storm · Jan 26, 2009$25.0MNOAA name: JOHNSON · NOAA record 143443
- Tornado · May 24, 2011$13.0MNOAA name: JOHNSON · 1 death · 4 injuries · NOAA record 308464
- Tornado · May 24, 2011$5.5MNOAA name: JOHNSON · 1 death · 11 injuries · NOAA record 308462
- Flash Flood · Oct 29, 2009$2.0MNOAA name: JOHNSON · NOAA record 196401
- Winter Storm · Dec 5, 2013$1.3MNOAA name: JOHNSON · NOAA record 480091
Deadliest records
- Flash Flood · Apr 5, 19971 deathNOAA name: JOHNSON · NOAA record 5625232
- Tornado · Nov 23, 20011 deathNOAA name: JOHNSON · 4 injuries · NOAA record 5273824
- Heat · Aug 8, 20101 deathNOAA name: JOHNSON · NOAA record 241811
- Tornado · May 24, 20111 deathNOAA name: JOHNSON · $5.5M damage · 11 injuries · NOAA record 308462
- Tornado · May 24, 20111 deathNOAA name: JOHNSON · $13.0M damage · 4 injuries · NOAA record 308464
Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.
Flood insurance claims (NFIP)
The National Flood Insurance Program paid $34K on 6 claims in Johnson County from 1997 to 2021.
| Year | Claims | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2 | $0 |
| 2021 | 1 | $8K |
| 2014 | 1 | $8K |
| 2009 | 1 | $19K |
| 1997 | 1 | $0 |
A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.
Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Johnson County
A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.
| Hazard | Prob. | Basis, from the county record |
|---|---|---|
| Severe Thunderstorm | 3 | 354 NCEI events over 31 years (11.42/yr). 9 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Flood, External | 3 | 59 NCEI events over 31 years (1.90/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm | 3 | 79 NCEI events over 31 years (2.55/yr). 4 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Hurricane / Tropical Storm | 2 | 4 NCEI events over 31 years (0.13/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Tornado | 2 | 20 NCEI events over 31 years (0.65/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Temperature Extremes | 2 | 17 NCEI events over 31 years (0.55/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Drought | 2 | 13 NCEI events over 31 years (0.42/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county. |
| Wild Fire | 2 | 4 NCEI events over 31 years (0.13/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| High Wind (non-convective) | 2 | 8 NCEI events over 31 years (0.26/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Epidemic | 2 | 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Earthquake | 1 | No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Landslide | 1 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Tidal Wave / Tsunami | 1 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Volcano | 1 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Dam Inundation | 1 | No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Johnson County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.
How this page was made
- Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
- NOAA files some events by county and others by forecast zone, and names both. Records are counted as Johnson County when their NOAA name is this county's name, alone or with a word like “Coastal” or “Inland” in front. The county codes NOAA also publishes have not been loaded for Arkansas yet; when they are, this page will count by code instead, and some counties' records will grow. NOAA names counted here: JOHNSON, JOHNSON COUNTY HIGHER ELEVATIONS, SOUTHERN JOHNSON COUNTY. Zones named for something else, such as a mountain range or two counties at once, are left out: 0% of Arkansas's NOAA records.
- Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.
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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.