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Lynchburg city, Virginia: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
321
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
2 / 2
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$38.5M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
17
1972 to 2026
NFIP flood insurance claims
149
1978 to 2023; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$4.2M
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Thunderstorm Wind, with 95 records.
  • The costliest single record is Flash Flood in 2018: $18.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Winter Weather in 2014, with 1 death.
  • FEMA has declared 17 disasters that named this county, most often for hurricane.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1996, with 32 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 17 disasters that named Lynchburg city between 1972 and 2026.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Lynchburg city, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Hurricane52018
Flood31992
Severe Storm32012
Snowstorm31996
Biological22020
Winter Storm12026

Most recent declarations

  • EM-3631 2026 · Winter Storm · Severe Winter Storm
  • EM-3448 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4512 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3403 2018 · Hurricane · Hurricane Florence
  • EM-3359 2012 · Hurricane · Hurricane Sandy
  • DR-4072 2012 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Straight-line Winds
  • EM-3240 2005 · Hurricane · Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
  • DR-1491 2003 · Hurricane · Hurricane Isabel
  • DR-1318 2000 · Severe Storm · Severe Winter Storms
  • DR-1135 1996 · Hurricane · Hurricane Fran And Associated Severe Storm Cond

Not counted above: 3 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Virginia. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Lynchburg city, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Thunderstorm Wind9500$8.1M
Winter Storm3300$120K
Hail2800$3K
Flood2500$57K
Flash Flood2100$18.2M
High Wind2000$555K
Heavy Snow1900$18K
Drought1800$0
Strong Wind1310$256K
Lightning1100$316K
Heavy Rain1000$1.0M
Ice Storm900$12K
Frost/Freeze700$0
Winter Weather410$28K
Tropical Storm300$106K
Cold/Wind Chill200$0
Debris Flow100$100K
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill100$0
Tornado102$9.6M

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Lynchburg city each year. The busiest year was 2010, with 30 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Lynchburg city by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996150$250K
199730$0
1998100$0
199970$0
200090$50K
200140$15K
200280$0
2003240$113K
200430$0
200550$12K
200670$5K
2007160$82K
2008100$12K
200920$0
2010300$112K
201190$130K
2012120$7.2M
201370$11K
201461$808K
201580$34K
2016200$71K
201760$23K
2018160$28.9M
201990$221K
202080$26K
202190$58K
2022101$126K
2023180$123K
2024110$90K
2025110$94K
202680$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Flash Flood · Aug 2, 2018$18.0M
    NOAA name: Lynchburg city · NOAA record 778387
  2. Tornado · Apr 15, 2018$9.6M
    NOAA name: Lynchburg city · 2 injuries · NOAA record 748629
  3. Thunderstorm Wind · Jun 29, 2012$7.1M
    NOAA name: Lynchburg city · NOAA record 395128
  4. Heavy Rain · Jun 9, 2018$1.0M
    NOAA name: Lynchburg city · NOAA record 769493
  5. Thunderstorm Wind · Jun 11, 2014$500K
    NOAA name: Lynchburg city · NOAA record 528452

Deadliest records

  1. Winter Weather · Jan 5, 20141 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · $8K damage · NOAA record 486426
  2. Strong Wind · Sep 30, 20221 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · $40K damage · NOAA record 1056011

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $4.2M on 149 claims in Lynchburg city from 1978 to 2023.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Lynchburg city
YearClaimsPaid
199632$1.1M
199218$328K
198915$123K
198715$129K
199512$173K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Lynchburg city

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Hurricane / Tropical Storm33 NCEI events over 31 years (0.10/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Severe Thunderstorm3134 NCEI events over 31 years (4.32/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External356 NCEI events over 31 years (1.81/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm365 NCEI events over 31 years (2.10/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
High Wind (non-convective)333 NCEI events over 31 years (1.06/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Temperature Extremes210 NCEI events over 31 years (0.32/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought218 NCEI events over 31 years (0.58/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Tornado11 NCEI event over 31 years (0.03/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Wild Fire1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide11 NCEI event over 31 years (0.03/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Lynchburg city — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Lynchburg city by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 321 records, 174 were filed against this county and 147 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 4% of Virginia's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.