Skip to contentCALCHIS

Harrisonburg city, Virginia: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
466
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
1 / 7
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$14.3M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
14
1972 to 2026
NFIP flood insurance claims
45
1979 to 2024; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$710K
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Winter Weather, with 122 records.
  • The costliest single record is Flood in 1996: $7.1M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Heat in 1999, with 1 death.
  • FEMA has declared 14 disasters that named this county, most often for hurricane.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1996, with 8 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 14 disasters that named Harrisonburg city between 1972 and 2026.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Harrisonburg city, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Hurricane52018
Flood31996
Biological22020
Snowstorm21996
Severe Storm12012
Winter Storm12026

Most recent declarations

  • EM-3631 2026 · Winter Storm · Severe Winter Storm
  • EM-3448 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4512 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3403 2018 · Hurricane · Hurricane Florence
  • EM-3359 2012 · Hurricane · Hurricane Sandy
  • DR-4072 2012 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Straight-line Winds
  • EM-3240 2005 · Hurricane · Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
  • DR-1491 2003 · Hurricane · Hurricane Isabel
  • DR-1135 1996 · Hurricane · Hurricane Fran And Associated Severe Storm Cond
  • DR-1098 1996 · Flood · Flooding, High Winds, And Wind Driven Rain

Not counted above: 3 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Virginia. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Harrisonburg city, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Winter Weather12200$2K
Dense Fog7100$0
Winter Storm5800$350K
Frost/Freeze5000$0
Heat2716$0
Thunderstorm Wind2600$573K
Flood1700$12.6M
High Wind1600$580K
Flash Flood1201$10K
Ice Storm1000$65K
Strong Wind1000$56K
Drought800$0
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill800$0
Cold/Wind Chill700$0
Hail600$0
Heavy Snow600$3K
Heavy Rain400$0
Wildfire400$12K
Blizzard200$10K
Dust Devil100$2K
Excessive Heat100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Harrisonburg city each year. The busiest year was 2018, with 31 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Harrisonburg city by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996100$12.1M
1997100$32K
1998170$40K
1999151$42K
2000200$10K
2001120$4K
2002180$152K
2003150$1.4M
200470$2K
200580$0
2006150$165K
2007180$11K
200870$20K
200960$0
201090$0
2011120$0
2012240$0
2013230$0
2014190$0
2015140$0
2016230$0
2017120$0
2018310$0
2019250$0
2020200$20K
2021180$1K
2022120$0
2023110$0
202470$12K
2025230$259K
202650$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Flood · Sep 6, 1996$7.1M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5572176
  2. Flood · Jan 19, 1996$5.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5541109
  3. High Wind · Sep 18, 2003$500K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5335050
  4. Flood · Sep 18, 2003$500K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5335520
  5. Winter Storm · Feb 14, 2003$350K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5342878

Deadliest records

  1. Heat · Jul 4, 19991 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · 6 injuries · NOAA record 5710341

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $710K on 45 claims in Harrisonburg city from 1979 to 2024.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Harrisonburg city
YearClaimsPaid
19968$15K
20035$102K
20244$69K
20184$344K
20123$28K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Harrisonburg city

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Hurricane / Tropical Storm3No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Severe Thunderstorm332 NCEI events over 31 years (1.03/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Flood, External333 NCEI events over 31 years (1.06/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3198 NCEI events over 31 years (6.39/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Temperature Extremes393 NCEI events over 31 years (3.00/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought28 NCEI events over 31 years (0.26/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Wild Fire24 NCEI events over 31 years (0.13/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
High Wind (non-convective)226 NCEI events over 31 years (0.84/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Tornado1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Harrisonburg city — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Harrisonburg city by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 466 records, 57 were filed against this county and 409 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 4% of Virginia's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

Related

Responsible for Harrisonburg city?

This page is the record of what has happened. Calchis also watches live NWS, USGS and NHC feeds against the places you name and alerts you when an event approaches them.

Free includes Live map + 3 triggers + 10 bond positions. Analyst is $149/mo for 1,000-location portfolios, ep curves, predictions, parametric triggers.

Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.