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Fredericksburg city, Virginia: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
401
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
1 / 6
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$9.7M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
19
1972 to 2026
NFIP flood insurance claims
42
1979 to 2024; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$253K
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Heat, with 65 records.
  • The costliest single record is High Wind in 2003: $7.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Lightning in 2009, with 1 death.
  • FEMA has declared 19 disasters that named this county, most often for snowstorm.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1996, with 7 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 19 disasters that named Fredericksburg city between 1972 and 2026.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Fredericksburg city, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Snowstorm62016
Hurricane52018
Severe Storm32022
Biological22020
Earthquake12011
Flood11972
Winter Storm12026

Most recent declarations

  • EM-3631 2026 · Winter Storm · Severe Winter Storm
  • DR-4644 2022 · Severe Storm · Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm
  • DR-4512 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3448 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • EM-3403 2018 · Hurricane · Hurricane Florence
  • DR-4262 2016 · Snowstorm · Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm
  • EM-3359 2012 · Hurricane · Hurricane Sandy
  • DR-4072 2012 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Straight-line Winds
  • DR-4042 2011 · Earthquake · Earthquake
  • DR-1905 2010 · Snowstorm · Severe Winter Storms And Snowstorms

Not counted above: 3 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Virginia. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Fredericksburg city, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Heat6505$0
Winter Weather6300$0
Dense Fog4900$0
Thunderstorm Wind4200$2.3M
Frost/Freeze3200$0
Winter Storm3200$80K
Hail1800$0
Flood1300$125K
Drought1200$0
Strong Wind1100$3K
Flash Flood900$10K
Excessive Heat800$0
Heavy Rain700$0
Heavy Snow700$20K
Lightning711$18K
Cold/Wind Chill600$0
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill600$0
High Wind400$7.1M
Ice Storm400$20K
Tornado200$20K
Tropical Storm200$20K
Blizzard100$10K
Storm Surge/Tide100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Fredericksburg city each year. The busiest year was 2012, with 24 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Fredericksburg city by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
199680$110K
199770$0
1998120$20K
1999140$62K
2000230$14K
2001100$2K
2002190$115K
2003160$7.1M
200440$2K
200590$20K
2006180$85K
2007240$0
2008110$41K
2009171$0
201080$8K
2011150$12K
2012240$14K
2013170$0
2014180$0
2015100$1K
2016110$0
2017100$0
2018220$25K
2019150$0
2020180$15K
2021140$56K
202280$2.0M
202350$4K
202420$0
202580$0
202640$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. High Wind · Sep 18, 2003$7.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5335052
  2. Thunderstorm Wind · Jun 22, 2022$2.0M
    NOAA name: Fredericksburg city · NOAA record 1024250
  3. Flood · Sep 6, 1996$100K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5572191
  4. Thunderstorm Wind · Jun 13, 2002$100K
    NOAA name: Fredericksburg city · NOAA record 5302238
  5. Winter Storm · Feb 14, 2003$75K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5342884

Deadliest records

  1. Lightning · Jun 3, 20091 death
    NOAA name: Fredericksburg city · NOAA record 187404

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $253K on 42 claims in Fredericksburg city from 1979 to 2024.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Fredericksburg city
YearClaimsPaid
19967$44K
19956$52K
20185$141K
19795$5K
20242$4K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Fredericksburg city

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Hurricane / Tropical Storm33 NCEI events over 31 years (0.10/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Severe Thunderstorm367 NCEI events over 31 years (2.16/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3107 NCEI events over 31 years (3.45/yr). 6 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Temperature Extremes3117 NCEI events over 31 years (3.77/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Flood, External229 NCEI events over 31 years (0.94/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Drought212 NCEI events over 31 years (0.39/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
High Wind (non-convective)215 NCEI events over 31 years (0.48/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake21 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Tornado12 NCEI events over 31 years (0.06/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Wild Fire1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Fredericksburg city — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Fredericksburg city by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 401 records, 92 were filed against this county and 309 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 4% of Virginia's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.