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Falls Church city, Virginia: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
416
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
3 / 68
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$10.9M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
16
1972 to 2026
NFIP flood insurance claims
70
1978 to 2023; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$467K
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Winter Weather, with 94 records.
  • The costliest single record is Tropical Storm in 2003: $4.5M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Lightning in 2000, with 1 death.
  • FEMA has declared 16 disasters that named this county, most often for hurricane.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 2019, with 22 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 16 disasters that named Falls Church city between 1972 and 2026.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Falls Church city, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Hurricane52018
Snowstorm52016
Biological22020
Severe Storm22012
Flood11972
Winter Storm12026

Most recent declarations

  • EM-3631 2026 · Winter Storm · Severe Winter Storm
  • DR-4512 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3448 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • EM-3403 2018 · Hurricane · Hurricane Florence
  • DR-4262 2016 · Snowstorm · Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm
  • DR-4092 2012 · Hurricane · Hurricane Sandy
  • EM-3359 2012 · Hurricane · Hurricane Sandy
  • DR-4072 2012 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Straight-line Winds
  • DR-1905 2010 · Snowstorm · Severe Winter Storms And Snowstorms
  • DR-1874 2009 · Snowstorm · Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm

Not counted above: 3 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Virginia. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Falls Church city, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Winter Weather9410$0
Heat49039$0
Winter Storm3600$405K
Dense Fog3400$0
Thunderstorm Wind2600$442K
Coastal Flood2500$0
Strong Wind2201$163K
Frost/Freeze1800$0
Excessive Heat1710$0
High Wind1702$4.5M
Heavy Rain1300$0
Cold/Wind Chill900$0
Drought900$0
Hail800$2K
Flood700$600K
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill600$0
Flash Flood600$0
Heavy Snow600$20K
Tropical Storm5026$4.6M
Blizzard300$15K
Ice Storm300$20K
Lightning210$2K
Storm Surge/Tide100$20K

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Falls Church city each year. The busiest year was 2000, with 29 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Falls Church city by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996110$545K
199770$113K
1998140$10K
1999160$68K
2000291$316K
2001130$2K
2002130$3K
2003211$5.0M
2004120$6K
2005110$7K
2006160$115K
2007190$10K
200861$0
200930$0
201090$5K
2011230$101K
2012190$4.5M
2013130$0
2014140$0
2015140$1K
2016200$0
201790$0
2018220$1K
2019200$0
2020100$5K
202190$22K
202270$0
202340$25K
2024150$0
2025110$0
202660$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Tropical Storm · Sep 18, 2003$4.5M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · 26 injuries · NOAA record 5335421
  2. High Wind · Oct 29, 2012$4.5M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 417832
  3. Flood · Sep 7, 1996$500K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5572183
  4. Winter Storm · Feb 14, 2003$400K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5342895
  5. Thunderstorm Wind · Aug 7, 2000$300K
    NOAA name: Falls Church city · NOAA record 5172668

Deadliest records

  1. Lightning · Aug 7, 20001 death
    NOAA name: Falls Church city · NOAA record 5172670
  2. Winter Weather · Dec 14, 20031 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5380138
  3. Excessive Heat · Jun 8, 20081 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 105121

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $467K on 70 claims in Falls Church city from 1978 to 2023.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Falls Church city
YearClaimsPaid
201922$210K
201121$162K
20186$14K
20064$13K
20153$210

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Falls Church city

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Hurricane / Tropical Storm36 NCEI events over 31 years (0.19/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Severe Thunderstorm336 NCEI events over 31 years (1.16/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External351 NCEI events over 31 years (1.65/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3142 NCEI events over 31 years (4.58/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Temperature Extremes399 NCEI events over 31 years (3.19/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
High Wind (non-convective)339 NCEI events over 31 years (1.26/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought29 NCEI events over 31 years (0.29/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Tornado1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Wild Fire1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Falls Church city — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Falls Church city by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 416 records, 52 were filed against this county and 364 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 4% of Virginia's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.