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Chester County, Pennsylvania: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
1,988
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
21 / 49
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$86.3M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
26
1965 to 2021
NFIP flood insurance claims
1,893
1978 to 2024; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$37.4M
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Thunderstorm Wind, with 680 records.
  • The costliest single record is Flash Flood in 2021: $40.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Heat in 1999, with 4 deaths.
  • FEMA has declared 26 disasters that named this county, most often for hurricane.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 2021, with 215 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 26 disasters that named Chester County between 1965 and 2021.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Chester County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Hurricane72021
Flood62011
Severe Storm52006
Snowstorm42016
Biological22020
Drought11965
Severe Ice Storm12014

Most recent declarations

  • DR-4618 2021 · Hurricane · Remnants Of Hurricane Ida
  • EM-3441 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4506 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • DR-4267 2016 · Snowstorm · Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm
  • EM-3367 2014 · Severe Ice Storm · Severe Winter Storm
  • EM-3356 2012 · Hurricane · Hurricane Sandy
  • DR-4030 2011 · Flood · Tropical Storm Lee
  • EM-3340 2011 · Flood · Remnants Of Tropical Storm Lee
  • EM-3339 2011 · Hurricane · Hurricane Irene
  • DR-4025 2011 · Hurricane · Hurricane Irene

Not counted above: 6 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Pennsylvania. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Chester County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Thunderstorm Wind68028$1.3M
Winter Weather26900$50K
Flash Flood22321$46.7M
Strong Wind9712$390K
Flood9311$10.7M
Hail7900$100
Heat69110$0
Winter Storm65017$5.1M
Dense Fog6400$0
Heavy Rain5010$0
High Wind4900$10.9M
Lightning4636$2.7M
Drought4400$0
Excessive Heat4300$0
Cold/Wind Chill3500$0
Heavy Snow3500$1.0M
Tornado11013$4.4M
Funnel Cloud600$0
Ice Storm600$0
Sleet600$0
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill400$0
Tropical Storm400$850K
Frost/Freeze300$0
Wildfire301$0
Freezing Fog200$0
Blizzard100$2.2M
Marine High Wind100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Chester County each year. The busiest year was 2020, with 176 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Chester County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996470$3.2M
1997421$25K
1998530$1.2M
1999545$8.0M
2000403$250K
2001361$0
2002583$200K
2003511$11.9M
2004480$33K
2005441$3K
2006533$6.2M
2007530$131K
2008450$552K
2009570$578K
2010471$6.0M
2011560$1.9M
2012560$1.0M
2013710$41K
2014990$3.2M
2015680$378K
2016390$9K
2017330$750K
2018590$0
20191330$0
20201760$0
20211391$40.5M
2022590$0
2023841$20K
2024710$50K
2025880$100K
2026290$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Flash Flood · Sep 1, 2021$40.0M
    NOAA name: CHESTER · 1 death · NOAA record 981414
  2. High Wind · Sep 18, 2003$6.7M
    NOAA name: CHESTER · NOAA record 5336708
  3. Flood · Jun 27, 2006$6.0M
    NOAA name: CHESTER · NOAA record 5518456
  4. Winter Storm · Feb 9, 2010$5.0M
    NOAA name: CHESTER · NOAA record 212812
  5. Flash Flood · Sep 15, 2003$3.5M
    NOAA name: CHESTER · NOAA record 5371968

Deadliest records

  1. Heat · Jul 4, 19994 deaths
    NOAA name: CHESTER · NOAA record 5715465
  2. Heat · Aug 1, 20023 deaths
    NOAA name: CHESTER · NOAA record 5318172
  3. Heat · May 6, 20002 deaths
    NOAA name: CHESTER · NOAA record 5144692
  4. Thunderstorm Wind · Jul 18, 20062 deaths
    NOAA name: CHESTER · 1 injury · NOAA record 5522793
  5. Heavy Rain · May 25, 19971 death
    NOAA name: CHESTER · NOAA record 5609078

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $37.4M on 1,893 claims in Chester County from 1978 to 2024.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Chester County
YearClaimsPaid
2021215$13.7M
2006193$3.9M
1999191$3.3M
2003170$2.1M
1979168$363K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Chester County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Hurricane / Tropical Storm34 NCEI events over 31 years (0.13/yr). 7 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Severe Thunderstorm3805 NCEI events over 31 years (25.97/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External3366 NCEI events over 31 years (11.81/yr). 6 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3384 NCEI events over 31 years (12.39/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Temperature Extremes3154 NCEI events over 31 years (4.97/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought344 NCEI events over 31 years (1.42/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
High Wind (non-convective)3146 NCEI events over 31 years (4.71/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tornado211 NCEI events over 31 years (0.35/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Wild Fire13 NCEI events over 31 years (0.10/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Chester County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events by county and others by forecast zone, and names both. Records are counted as Chester County when their NOAA name is this county's name, alone or with a word like “Coastal” or “Inland” in front. The county codes NOAA also publishes have not been loaded for Pennsylvania yet; when they are, this page will count by code instead, and some counties' records will grow. NOAA names counted here: CHESTER, EASTERN CHESTER, Eastern Chester, WESTERN CHESTER, Western Chester. Zones named for something else, such as a mountain range or two counties at once, are left out: 0% of Pennsylvania's NOAA records.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.