Josephine County, Oregon: hazard history
What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.
At a glance
What this means
- The event NOAA recorded most often here is Frost/Freeze, with 111 records.
- The costliest single record is Flood in 2012: $4.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
- The deadliest record is Winter Weather in 2017, with 1 death.
- FEMA has declared 25 disasters that named this county, most often for fire.
- The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1997, with 28 claims.
What this can't tell you
- What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
- Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
- Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
- A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
- Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.
Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)
FEMA declared 25 disasters that named Josephine County between 1964 and 2026.
| Incident type | Disasters | Most recent |
|---|---|---|
| Fire | 13 | 2026 |
| Severe Storm | 5 | 2025 |
| Flood | 3 | 1996 |
| Biological | 2 | 2020 |
| Coastal Storm | 1 | 2005 |
| Drought | 1 | 1977 |
Most recent declarations
- FM-5670 2026 · Fire · Fielder Mountain Fire
- DR-4881 2025 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides
- FM-5369 2020 · Fire · Slater Fire
- DR-4562 2020 · Fire · Wildfires And Straight-line Winds
- EM-3429 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
- DR-4499 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
- FM-5275 2018 · Fire · Hugo Road Fire
- FM-5256 2018 · Fire · Garner Fire Complex
- DR-4328 2017 · Severe Storm · Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides
- DR-4296 2016 · Severe Storm · Severe Winter Storm And Flooding
Not counted above: 40 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Oregon. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.
Storms recorded by NOAA, by type
| Event type | Records | Deaths | Injuries | Property damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frost/Freeze | 111 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Heavy Snow | 99 | 0 | 1 | $0 |
| Wildfire | 92 | 1 | 0 | $1.5M |
| High Wind | 84 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Winter Storm | 26 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Excessive Heat | 17 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Extreme Cold/Wind Chill | 17 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Flood | 16 | 0 | 0 | $4.6M |
| Hail | 8 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Thunderstorm Wind | 8 | 0 | 2 | $78K |
| Lightning | 5 | 0 | 0 | $60K |
| Flash Flood | 4 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Blizzard | 3 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Cold/Wind Chill | 3 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Heavy Rain | 3 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Winter Weather | 3 | 1 | 0 | $0 |
| Heat | 2 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Freezing Fog | 1 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Strong Wind | 1 | 1 | 0 | $0 |
Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.
Year by year
NOAA storm event records in Josephine County each year. The busiest year was 2015, with 26 records.
Show the numbers for every year
| Year | Records | Deaths | Property damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | $0 |
| 1997 | 3 | 0 | $0 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | $0 |
| 1999 | 13 | 0 | $0 |
| 2000 | 12 | 0 | $0 |
| 2001 | 15 | 0 | $0 |
| 2002 | 23 | 0 | $0 |
| 2003 | 18 | 0 | $0 |
| 2004 | 6 | 0 | $0 |
| 2005 | 24 | 0 | $588K |
| 2006 | 15 | 0 | $0 |
| 2007 | 16 | 0 | $60K |
| 2008 | 24 | 0 | $0 |
| 2009 | 9 | 0 | $0 |
| 2010 | 15 | 0 | $0 |
| 2011 | 17 | 0 | $0 |
| 2012 | 25 | 0 | $4.0M |
| 2013 | 22 | 0 | $0 |
| 2014 | 24 | 0 | $1.5M |
| 2015 | 26 | 0 | $0 |
| 2016 | 21 | 0 | $0 |
| 2017 | 25 | 1 | $0 |
| 2018 | 21 | 0 | $0 |
| 2019 | 20 | 1 | $0 |
| 2020 | 13 | 0 | $0 |
| 2021 | 22 | 0 | $0 |
| 2022 | 12 | 1 | $0 |
| 2023 | 25 | 0 | $0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 0 | $0 |
| 2025 | 10 | 0 | $0 |
| 2026 | 7 | 0 | $78K |
Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.
Notable events
Costliest records
- Flood · Nov 29, 2012$4.0MNOAA name: Josephine County · NOAA record 418497
- Wildfire · Aug 1, 2014$1.5MNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 528845
- Flood · Dec 26, 2005$588KNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5482310
- Thunderstorm Wind · May 3, 2026$68KNOAA name: Josephine County · 2 injuries · NOAA record 1324271
- Lightning · Jul 11, 2007$60KNOAA name: Josephine County · NOAA record 59375
Deadliest records
- Winter Weather · Jan 1, 20171 deathNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 666274
- Strong Wind · Jan 23, 20191 deathNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 794653
- Wildfire · Aug 17, 20221 deathNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 1040249
Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.
Flood insurance claims (NFIP)
The National Flood Insurance Program paid $444K on 74 claims in Josephine County from 1979 to 2024.
| Year | Claims | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| 1997 | 28 | $308K |
| 2005 | 9 | $50K |
| 2015 | 6 | $65K |
| 1981 | 5 | $8K |
| 2016 | 3 | $109 |
A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.
Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Josephine County
A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.
| Hazard | Prob. | Basis, from the county record |
|---|---|---|
| Severe Thunderstorm | 3 | 21 NCEI events over 31 years (0.68/yr). 5 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Flood, External | 3 | 23 NCEI events over 31 years (0.74/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm | 3 | 132 NCEI events over 31 years (4.26/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Temperature Extremes | 3 | 150 NCEI events over 31 years (4.84/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Wild Fire | 3 | 92 NCEI events over 31 years (2.97/yr). 13 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| High Wind (non-convective) | 3 | 85 NCEI events over 31 years (2.74/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Hurricane / Tropical Storm | 2 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county. |
| Drought | 2 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county. |
| Epidemic | 2 | 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Tornado | 1 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Earthquake | 1 | No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Landslide | 1 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Tidal Wave / Tsunami | 1 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Volcano | 1 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Dam Inundation | 1 | No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Josephine County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.
How this page was made
- Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
- NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Josephine County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 503 records, 64 were filed against this county and 439 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 31% of Oregon's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
- Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.
- This county's NOAA record is short (under 100 records, under 10 with damage, or under 10 years), so this page is not offered to search engines. It is still accurate.
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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.