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San Miguel County, New Mexico: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
1,032
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
5 / 13
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$156.3M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
21
1965 to 2023
NFIP flood insurance claims
119
1987 to 2024; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$778K
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is High Wind, with 273 records.
  • The costliest single record is Wildfire in 2022: $100.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Flash Flood in 2022, with 3 deaths.
  • FEMA has declared 21 disasters that named this county, most often for fire.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 2024, with 90 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 21 disasters that named San Miguel County between 1965 and 2023.

FEMA disaster declarations naming San Miguel County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Fire102023
Flood42013
Severe Storm42014
Biological22020
Hurricane12005

Most recent declarations

  • FM-5465 2023 · Fire · Las Tusas Fire
  • FM-5438 2022 · Fire · Calf Canyon Fire
  • FM-5431 2022 · Fire · Hermit's Peak Fire
  • DR-4652 2022 · Fire · Wildfires, Straight-line Winds, Flooding, Mudflows, And Debris Flows
  • DR-4529 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3460 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4199 2014 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • DR-4197 2014 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • DR-4152 2013 · Flood · Severe Storms, Flooding, And Mudslides
  • FM-5026 2013 · Fire · Tres Lagunas Fire

Not counted above: 35 statewide declarations, which covered every county in New Mexico. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for San Miguel County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
High Wind27300$540K
Drought25900$0
Hail23810$465K
Heavy Snow10800$1.5M
Flash Flood6530$5.0M
Thunderstorm Wind2100$4K
Wildfire15013$147.4M
Winter Storm1300$2K
Tornado800$100K
Funnel Cloud700$0
Winter Weather710$265K
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill600$0
Flood500$1.0M
Debris Flow200$0
Heavy Rain200$0
Blizzard100$0
Dust Storm100$0
Strong Wind100$20K

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in San Miguel County each year. The busiest year was 2022, with 164 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in San Miguel County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
199690$80K
199780$230K
199840$2K
199950$0
200060$1.2M
200190$0
200240$0
200390$0
2004110$0
2005280$0
200690$0
200770$4K
2008110$0
200990$0
2010130$751K
201140$0
201260$0
2013140$1.1M
2014140$20K
201520$10K
201690$0
2017321$250K
2018160$0
2019190$0
20201020$2K
20211370$565K
20221643$148.7M
20231360$409K
20241100$1.2M
2025871$1.8M
2026380$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Wildfire · May 1, 2022$100.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · 3 injuries · NOAA record 1018398
  2. Wildfire · Apr 19, 2022$25.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 1012058
  3. Wildfire · May 1, 2022$11.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · 10 injuries · NOAA record 1015508
  4. Wildfire · Apr 6, 2022$10.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 1012048
  5. Flash Flood · Jul 21, 2022$2.0M
    NOAA name: San Miguel County · 3 deaths · NOAA record 1030607

Deadliest records

  1. Flash Flood · Jul 21, 20223 deaths
    NOAA name: San Miguel County · $2.0M damage · NOAA record 1030607
  2. Hail · Aug 9, 20171 death
    NOAA name: San Miguel County · NOAA record 707833
  3. Winter Weather · Dec 3, 20251 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · $250K damage · NOAA record 1296292

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $778K on 119 claims in San Miguel County from 1987 to 2024.

Years with the most NFIP claims in San Miguel County
YearClaimsPaid
202490$572K
20137$43K
20226$83K
20173$30K
19953$1K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in San Miguel County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Severe Thunderstorm3259 NCEI events over 31 years (8.35/yr). 4 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External372 NCEI events over 31 years (2.32/yr). 4 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3129 NCEI events over 31 years (4.16/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought3259 NCEI events over 31 years (8.35/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Wild Fire315 NCEI events over 31 years (0.48/yr). 10 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
High Wind (non-convective)3274 NCEI events over 31 years (8.84/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Hurricane / Tropical Storm2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Tornado28 NCEI events over 31 years (0.26/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Temperature Extremes26 NCEI events over 31 years (0.19/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide12 NCEI events over 31 years (0.06/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in San Miguel County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as San Miguel County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 1,032 records, 349 were filed against this county and 683 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 34% of New Mexico's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.