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Cavalier County, North Dakota: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
652
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
1 / 0
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$18.7M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
26
1969 to 2022
NFIP flood insurance claims
13
1980 to 2001; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$290K
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Hail, with 192 records.
  • The costliest single record is Ice Storm in 1997: $6.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Flood in 2013, with 1 death.
  • FEMA has declared 26 disasters that named this county, most often for flood.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1996, with 3 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 26 disasters that named Cavalier County between 1969 and 2022.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Cavalier County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Flood112017
Severe Storm112022
Biological22020
Coastal Storm12005
Tornado12000

Most recent declarations

  • DR-4660 2022 · Severe Storm · Severe Winter Storm And Flooding
  • DR-4509 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3477 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4323 2017 · Flood · Flooding
  • DR-4128 2013 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • DR-4118 2013 · Flood · Flooding
  • DR-1981 2011 · Flood · Flooding
  • DR-1829 2009 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • DR-1713 2007 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • DR-1645 2006 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Flooding, And Ground Saturation

Not counted above: 12 statewide declarations, which covered every county in North Dakota. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Cavalier County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Hail19200$131K
Thunderstorm Wind9800$3.0M
Blizzard7800$6.0M
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill6800$0
Winter Storm4100$14K
High Wind3600$4K
Heavy Snow2700$0
Tornado2400$1.8M
Cold/Wind Chill2000$5K
Flood1710$1.3M
Drought1300$0
Funnel Cloud1100$0
Frost/Freeze900$0
Flash Flood700$29K
Ice Storm600$6.4M
Lightning200$55K
Heat100$0
Strong Wind100$0
Wildfire100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Cavalier County each year. The busiest year was 2005, with 39 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Cavalier County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996250$150K
1997140$12.0M
1998220$5K
1999160$7K
2000170$145K
2001150$101K
2002340$23K
2003250$25K
2004260$760K
2005390$2.0M
2006330$647K
2007320$5K
2008210$230K
2009170$15K
2010210$0
2011110$0
2012140$0
2013191$210K
2014180$0
2015160$0
2016170$0
2017250$2.3M
2018200$0
2019340$0
2020150$0
2021160$0
2022360$0
2023120$0
2024220$1K
2025100$0
2026100$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Ice Storm · Apr 4, 1997$6.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5591733
  2. Blizzard · Apr 5, 1997$6.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5591750
  3. Thunderstorm Wind · Jun 19, 2005$2.0M
    NOAA name: Cavalier County · NOAA record 5461631
  4. Tornado · Jun 9, 2017$1.5M
    NOAA name: Cavalier County · NOAA record 696848
  5. Flood · Apr 1, 2006$632K
    NOAA name: Cavalier County · NOAA record 5502796

Deadliest records

  1. Flood · Apr 28, 20131 death
    NOAA name: Cavalier County · $5K damage · NOAA record 439635

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $290K on 13 claims in Cavalier County from 1980 to 2001.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Cavalier County
YearClaimsPaid
19963$144K
19992$0
19952$70K
19852$1K
20011$13K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Cavalier County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Severe Thunderstorm3292 NCEI events over 31 years (9.42/yr). 11 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External324 NCEI events over 31 years (0.77/yr). 11 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3152 NCEI events over 31 years (4.90/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Temperature Extremes398 NCEI events over 31 years (3.16/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
High Wind (non-convective)337 NCEI events over 31 years (1.19/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Hurricane / Tropical Storm2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Tornado224 NCEI events over 31 years (0.77/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Drought213 NCEI events over 31 years (0.42/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Wild Fire11 NCEI event over 31 years (0.03/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Cavalier County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Cavalier County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 652 records, 344 were filed against this county and 308 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 3% of North Dakota's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.