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Clay County, Minnesota: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
707
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
2 / 2
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$55.0M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
29
1966 to 2023
NFIP flood insurance claims
1,341
1978 to 2019; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$13.6M
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Hail, with 171 records.
  • The costliest single record is Flood in 1997: $25.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Extreme Cold/Wind Chill in 2007, with 1 death.
  • FEMA has declared 29 disasters that named this county, most often for flood.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1997, with 446 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 29 disasters that named Clay County between 1966 and 2023.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Clay County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Flood152023
Severe Storm102009
Biological22020
Drought11976
Hurricane12005

Most recent declarations

  • DR-4722 2023 · Flood · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • EM-3453 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4531 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • DR-4442 2019 · Flood · Severe Winter Storm, Straight-line Winds, And Flooding
  • DR-1982 2011 · Flood · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • DR-1900 2010 · Flood · Flooding
  • EM-3310 2010 · Flood · Flooding
  • EM-3304 2009 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • DR-1830 2009 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • DR-1648 2006 · Flood · Flooding

Not counted above: 16 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Minnesota. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Clay County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Hail17100$10.0M
Thunderstorm Wind14702$644K
Blizzard7800$5.0M
Winter Storm5200$1.3M
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill4610$0
Heavy Snow3700$75K
Flash Flood3200$5.7M
High Wind3000$127K
Flood2510$29.2M
Tornado2300$651K
Cold/Wind Chill1700$21K
Drought1300$0
Funnel Cloud1100$0
Ice Storm1100$2.0M
Frost/Freeze500$0
Excessive Heat300$0
Lightning300$265K
Winter Weather200$0
Heavy Rain100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Clay County each year. The busiest year was 2019, with 52 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Clay County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996250$312K
1997190$32.0M
199890$163K
1999220$148K
2000200$5.6M
2001250$3.0M
2002430$160K
2003130$21K
2004340$115K
2005220$1.3M
2006120$996K
2007301$10.0M
2008220$0
2009200$25K
2010260$15K
2011281$268K
2012180$15K
2013240$40K
2014200$8K
2015140$0
2016240$2K
2017210$425K
2018280$0
2019520$110K
2020210$250K
2021190$0
2022410$0
2023260$0
2024120$500
2025120$0
202650$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Flood · Apr 16, 1997$25.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5591909
  2. Hail · Sep 21, 2007$10.0M
    NOAA name: Clay County · NOAA record 54742
  3. Blizzard · Apr 5, 1997$5.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5591902
  4. Flash Flood · Jun 19, 2000$5.0M
    NOAA name: Clay County · NOAA record 5148604
  5. Flood · Apr 6, 2001$3.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5238666

Deadliest records

  1. Extreme Cold/Wind Chill · Dec 3, 20071 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 70969
  2. Flood · Apr 3, 20111 death
    NOAA name: Clay County · NOAA record 288661

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $13.6M on 1,341 claims in Clay County from 1978 to 2019.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Clay County
YearClaimsPaid
1997446$4.8M
2009334$6.2M
197887$540K
197984$637K
201174$234K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Clay County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Severe Thunderstorm3321 NCEI events over 31 years (10.35/yr). 10 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External358 NCEI events over 31 years (1.87/yr). 15 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3180 NCEI events over 31 years (5.81/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Temperature Extremes371 NCEI events over 31 years (2.29/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Hurricane / Tropical Storm2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Tornado223 NCEI events over 31 years (0.74/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought213 NCEI events over 31 years (0.42/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
High Wind (non-convective)230 NCEI events over 31 years (0.97/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Wild Fire1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Clay County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Clay County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 707 records, 407 were filed against this county and 300 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.