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Pike County, Kentucky: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
962
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
9 / 8
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$25.7M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
47
1967 to 2026
NFIP flood insurance claims
2,188
1978 to 2024; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$37.9M
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Thunderstorm Wind, with 376 records.
  • The costliest single record is Flash Flood in 2001: $6.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Flash Flood in 2001, with 2 deaths.
  • FEMA has declared 47 disasters that named this county, most often for severe storm.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1984, with 668 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 47 disasters that named Pike County between 1967 and 2026.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Pike County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Severe Storm202025
Flood152022
Fire42016
Snowstorm32015
Biological22020
Hurricane12005
Tornado11995
Winter Storm12026

Most recent declarations

  • EM-3633 2026 · Winter Storm · Severe Winter Storm
  • EM-3626 2025 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding
  • EM-3624 2025 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Flooding, And Landslides
  • DR-4860 2025 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides
  • DR-4663 2022 · Flood · Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides
  • DR-4643 2021 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides
  • DR-4595 2021 · Flood · Severe, Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides
  • DR-4540 2020 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides
  • DR-4497 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3469 2020 · Biological · Covid-19

Not counted above: 4 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Kentucky. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Pike County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Thunderstorm Wind37613$1.3M
Flash Flood13762$12.1M
Hail13300$259K
Winter Weather10513$2K
Heavy Snow5900$25K
Flood4910$11.3M
Strong Wind2400$56K
Heavy Rain1500$337K
Frost/Freeze1300$0
Winter Storm1200$100K
Debris Flow1100$0
High Wind1100$217K
Ice Storm500$0
Drought300$0
Tornado200$5K
Cold/Wind Chill100$0
Dense Fog100$0
Excessive Heat100$0
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill100$0
Heat100$0
Lightning100$5K
Wildfire100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Pike County each year. The busiest year was 2010, with 99 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Pike County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996160$1.1M
199750$275K
1998230$39K
1999130$185K
2000260$501K
2001242$6.1M
2002251$5.0M
2003280$6.2M
2004230$3.1M
2005190$12K
2006270$46K
2007230$421K
2008400$127K
2009730$501K
2010995$153K
2011860$209K
2012640$216K
2013270$19K
2014311$102K
2015430$12K
2016270$1K
2017130$70K
2018150$2K
2019230$91K
2020180$447K
2021320$64K
2022460$649K
2023150$34K
2024270$22K
2025280$89K
202630$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Flash Flood · Aug 3, 2001$6.0M
    NOAA name: Pike County · 2 deaths · NOAA record 5263946
  2. Flood · May 2, 2002$5.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · 1 death · NOAA record 5297291
  3. Flood · Feb 16, 2003$3.3M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5345356
  4. Flood · May 31, 2004$3.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5404013
  5. Flash Flood · Jun 17, 2003$2.8M
    NOAA name: Pike County · NOAA record 5362871

Deadliest records

  1. Flash Flood · Aug 3, 20012 deaths
    NOAA name: Pike County · $6.0M damage · NOAA record 5263946
  2. Flash Flood · Jul 17, 20102 deaths
    NOAA name: Pike County · $8K damage · NOAA record 242713
  3. Flood · May 2, 20021 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · $5.0M damage · NOAA record 5297291
  4. Flash Flood · Jul 17, 20101 death
    NOAA name: Pike County · NOAA record 242707
  5. Flash Flood · Jul 17, 20101 death
    NOAA name: Pike County · NOAA record 242729

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $37.9M on 2,188 claims in Pike County from 1978 to 2024.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Pike County
YearClaimsPaid
1984668$10.9M
2009223$7.1M
2022136$4.5M
1989122$587K
1981112$736K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Pike County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Severe Thunderstorm3510 NCEI events over 31 years (16.45/yr). 20 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External3201 NCEI events over 31 years (6.48/yr). 15 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3181 NCEI events over 31 years (5.84/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Wild Fire31 NCEI event over 31 years (0.03/yr). 4 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
High Wind (non-convective)335 NCEI events over 31 years (1.13/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Hurricane / Tropical Storm2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Tornado22 NCEI events over 31 years (0.06/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Temperature Extremes217 NCEI events over 31 years (0.55/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide211 NCEI events over 31 years (0.35/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Drought13 NCEI events over 31 years (0.10/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Pike County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Pike County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 962 records, 714 were filed against this county and 248 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.