San Miguel County, Colorado: hazard history
What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.
At a glance
What this means
- The event NOAA recorded most often here is Winter Weather, with 1,039 records.
- The costliest single record is Wildfire in 2023: $1.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
- The deadliest record is Avalanche in 2021, with 3 deaths.
- FEMA has declared 9 disasters that named this county, most often for flood.
- The worst year for flood insurance claims was 2007, with 6 claims.
What this can't tell you
- What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
- Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
- Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
- A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
- Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.
Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)
FEMA declared 9 disasters that named San Miguel County between 1970 and 2020.
| Incident type | Disasters | Most recent |
|---|---|---|
| Flood | 3 | 1984 |
| Biological | 2 | 2020 |
| Fire | 2 | 2002 |
| Coastal Storm | 1 | 2005 |
| Drought | 1 | 1977 |
Most recent declarations
- DR-4498 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
- EM-3436 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
- EM-3224 2005 · Coastal Storm · Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
- FM-2442 2002 · Fire · Co - Burn Canyon Fire - 07/15/02
- DR-1421 2002 · Fire · Wildfires
- DR-719 1984 · Flood · Severe Storms, Mudslides, Landslides & Flooding
- EM-3025 1977 · Drought · Drought
- DR-396 1973 · Flood · Flooding & Landslides
- DR-293 1970 · Flood · Heavy Rains & Flooding
Not counted above: 12 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Colorado. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.
Storms recorded by NOAA, by type
| Event type | Records | Deaths | Injuries | Property damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Weather | 1,039 | 0 | 0 | $30K |
| Drought | 711 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Winter Storm | 633 | 0 | 0 | $5K |
| Heavy Snow | 304 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Wildfire | 130 | 0 | 0 | $10.0M |
| Avalanche | 116 | 26 | 25 | $283K |
| Frost/Freeze | 107 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Extreme Cold/Wind Chill | 64 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| High Wind | 57 | 0 | 1 | $304K |
| Debris Flow | 56 | 1 | 0 | $560K |
| Dense Fog | 35 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Flash Flood | 28 | 0 | 0 | $584K |
| Blizzard | 20 | 0 | 0 | $10K |
| Strong Wind | 19 | 1 | 0 | $98K |
| Heavy Rain | 12 | 0 | 0 | $2K |
| Flood | 7 | 0 | 0 | $4K |
| Hail | 5 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Cold/Wind Chill | 4 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Dense Smoke | 3 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Heat | 2 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Lightning | 2 | 0 | 0 | $5K |
| Thunderstorm Wind | 2 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Dust Storm | 1 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Excessive Heat | 1 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.
Year by year
NOAA storm event records in San Miguel County each year. The busiest year was 2025, with 183 records.
Show the numbers for every year
| Year | Records | Deaths | Property damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | 70 | 0 | $18K |
| 1997 | 77 | 0 | $3K |
| 1998 | 60 | 1 | $286K |
| 1999 | 47 | 0 | $59K |
| 2000 | 50 | 0 | $35K |
| 2001 | 52 | 0 | $410K |
| 2002 | 88 | 1 | $6K |
| 2003 | 145 | 1 | $161K |
| 2004 | 150 | 0 | $1K |
| 2005 | 169 | 0 | $367K |
| 2006 | 173 | 1 | $30K |
| 2007 | 144 | 0 | $22K |
| 2008 | 110 | 0 | $30K |
| 2009 | 107 | 0 | $2K |
| 2010 | 156 | 2 | $47K |
| 2011 | 133 | 0 | $0 |
| 2012 | 161 | 2 | $80K |
| 2013 | 144 | 1 | $5K |
| 2014 | 87 | 0 | $0 |
| 2015 | 93 | 1 | $0 |
| 2016 | 65 | 0 | $6K |
| 2017 | 66 | 0 | $1K |
| 2018 | 152 | 1 | $100K |
| 2019 | 134 | 3 | $30K |
| 2020 | 103 | 4 | $0 |
| 2021 | 132 | 3 | $525K |
| 2022 | 86 | 1 | $13K |
| 2023 | 103 | 3 | $9.6M |
| 2024 | 75 | 1 | $3K |
| 2025 | 183 | 2 | $0 |
| 2026 | 43 | 0 | $0 |
Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.
Notable events
Costliest records
- Wildfire · Aug 5, 2023$1.0MNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 1142188
- Wildfire · Sep 1, 2023$1.0MNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 1142187
- Wildfire · Oct 1, 2023$1.0MNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 1142186
- Wildfire · Nov 1, 2023$1.0MNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 1142185
- Wildfire · Jun 28, 2023$600KNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 1103996
Deadliest records
- Avalanche · Feb 1, 20213 deathsNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · 4 injuries · NOAA record 941934
- Avalanche · Dec 19, 20202 deathsNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · 1 injury · NOAA record 931719
- Avalanche · Feb 25, 20232 deathsNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · 2 injuries · NOAA record 1075012
- Avalanche · Jan 21, 19981 deathNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5629744
- Avalanche · Mar 15, 20021 deathNOAA name: NWS forecast zone · 1 injury · NOAA record 5285064
Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.
Flood insurance claims (NFIP)
The National Flood Insurance Program paid $133K on 18 claims in San Miguel County from 1983 to 2016.
| Year | Claims | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 6 | $89K |
| 2001 | 3 | $0 |
| 2016 | 2 | $17K |
| 1996 | 2 | $5K |
| 2008 | 1 | $3K |
A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.
Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in San Miguel County
A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.
| Hazard | Prob. | Basis, from the county record |
|---|---|---|
| Flood, External | 3 | 47 NCEI events over 31 years (1.52/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm | 3 | 1,996 NCEI events over 31 years (64.39/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Temperature Extremes | 3 | 178 NCEI events over 31 years (5.74/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Drought | 3 | 711 NCEI events over 31 years (22.94/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county. |
| Wild Fire | 3 | 130 NCEI events over 31 years (4.19/yr). 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| High Wind (non-convective) | 3 | 76 NCEI events over 31 years (2.45/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Landslide | 3 | 172 NCEI events over 31 years (5.55/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Hurricane / Tropical Storm | 2 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county. |
| Severe Thunderstorm | 2 | 9 NCEI events over 31 years (0.29/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Epidemic | 2 | 2 federal disaster declarations naming the county. |
| Tornado | 1 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Earthquake | 1 | No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Tidal Wave / Tsunami | 1 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Volcano | 1 | No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
| Dam Inundation | 1 | No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county. |
A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in San Miguel County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.
How this page was made
- Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
- NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as San Miguel County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 3,358 records, 96 were filed against this county and 3,262 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 0% of Colorado's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
- Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.
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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.