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Lincoln County, Colorado: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
916
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
6 / 8
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$5.2M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
10
1965 to 2023
NFIP flood insurance claims
6
1990 to 2023; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$4K
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is Hail, with 475 records.
  • The costliest single record is Tornado in 1999: $4.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is High Wind in 2009, with 2 deaths.
  • FEMA has declared 10 disasters that named this county, most often for flood.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1999, with 2 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 10 disasters that named Lincoln County between 1965 and 2023.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Lincoln County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Flood32023
Biological22020
Coastal Storm12005
Drought11977
Fire12002
Severe Storm12001
Tornado11965

Most recent declarations

  • DR-4731 2023 · Flood · Severe Storms, Flooding, And Tornadoes
  • DR-4498 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3436 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4145 2013 · Flood · Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides
  • EM-3224 2005 · Coastal Storm · Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
  • DR-1421 2002 · Fire · Wildfires
  • DR-1374 2001 · Severe Storm · Severe Winter Storms
  • DR-1186 1997 · Flood · Severe Storms, Heavy Rain, Flash Floods, Flooding, Mudslides
  • EM-3025 1977 · Drought · Drought
  • DR-200 1965 · Tornado · Tornadoes, Severe Storms & Flooding

Not counted above: 12 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Colorado. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Lincoln County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
Hail47500$0
Thunderstorm Wind12702$25K
High Wind8725$595K
Tornado6600$4.2M
Winter Weather4220$0
Blizzard3100$0
Winter Storm2710$0
Flash Flood1900$435K
Cold/Wind Chill1000$0
Drought800$0
Heavy Snow700$0
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill500$0
Lightning301$0
Frost/Freeze200$0
Heavy Rain200$0
Dust Storm110$0
Flood100$15K
Funnel Cloud100$0
Strong Wind100$0
Wildfire100$0

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Lincoln County each year. The busiest year was 2025, with 78 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Lincoln County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996540$0
1997250$0
1998180$0
1999190$4.0M
2000280$0
2001260$345K
2002250$0
2003150$0
2004260$0
2005421$0
2006270$0
2007330$0
2008350$15K
2009372$325K
2010230$35K
2011332$0
2012100$0
2013120$30K
2014330$250K
2015130$165K
2016100$0
2017220$0
2018290$0
2019200$25K
2020300$0
2021371$0
2022420$0
2023540$55K
2024510$0
2025780$0
202690$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Tornado · May 31, 1999$4.0M
    NOAA name: Lincoln County · NOAA record 5699026
  2. High Wind · May 20, 2001$345K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5250138
  3. High Wind · Jan 19, 2009$250K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · 2 deaths · NOAA record 150246
  4. Flash Flood · Jul 16, 2014$250K
    NOAA name: Lincoln County · NOAA record 532534
  5. Tornado · Aug 17, 2015$100K
    NOAA name: Lincoln County · NOAA record 595996

Deadliest records

  1. High Wind · Jan 19, 20092 deaths
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · $250K damage · NOAA record 150246
  2. Winter Weather · Dec 19, 20112 deaths
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 357315
  3. Winter Storm · Oct 10, 20051 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5478526
  4. Dust Storm · Jan 15, 20211 death
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 937867

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $4K on 6 claims in Lincoln County from 1990 to 2023.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Lincoln County
YearClaimsPaid
19992$0
19902$0
20231$0
20001$4K

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Lincoln County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Tornado366 NCEI events over 31 years (2.13/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Severe Thunderstorm3605 NCEI events over 31 years (19.52/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Flood, External322 NCEI events over 31 years (0.71/yr). 3 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3107 NCEI events over 31 years (3.45/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
High Wind (non-convective)388 NCEI events over 31 years (2.84/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Hurricane / Tropical Storm2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Temperature Extremes217 NCEI events over 31 years (0.55/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought28 NCEI events over 31 years (0.26/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Wild Fire21 NCEI event over 31 years (0.03/yr). 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Landslide1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Lincoln County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Lincoln County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 916 records, 694 were filed against this county and 222 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 0% of Colorado's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.