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Navajo County, Arizona: hazard history

What federal records show has already happened here: disaster declarations, storms, and flood insurance claims. This is a record of the past. It is not a forecast and not a hazard score.

At a glance

Storm events recorded by NOAA
1,158
1996 to 2026
People killed and injured in those events
17 / 21
Deaths (direct and indirect) / injuries (direct)
Property damage NOAA recorded
$117.7M
Nominal dollars, not adjusted for inflation
FEMA disaster declarations naming this county
21
1970 to 2021
NFIP flood insurance claims
106
1978 to 2024; a count, not a rate
NFIP payments on those claims
$971K
Nominal dollars

What this means

  • The event NOAA recorded most often here is High Wind, with 356 records.
  • The costliest single record is Wildfire in 2011: $58.0M in property damage, in the dollars of that year.
  • The deadliest record is Winter Storm in 2000, with 5 deaths.
  • FEMA has declared 21 disasters that named this county, most often for flood.
  • The worst year for flood insurance claims was 1978, with 37 claims.

What this can't tell you

  • What happens next. Past events do not set the odds of the next one.
  • Anything before 1996 from NOAA. That is when NOAA began recording every event type; earlier files hold only tornado, hail and wind, so they are left out on purpose.
  • Today's cost. Damage and payments are in the dollars of the year they happened.
  • A flood rate. NFIP counts claims but not how many homes were insured, and many flooded homes carry no flood insurance.
  • Earthquakes, wildfire perimeters or radar-detected hail. Those records are not tied to counties.

Federal disaster declarations (FEMA)

FEMA declared 21 disasters that named Navajo County between 1970 and 2021.

FEMA disaster declarations naming Navajo County, by incident type
Incident typeDisastersMost recent
Flood72021
Fire62006
Severe Storm42010
Biological22020
Drought11977
Hurricane12005

Most recent declarations

  • DR-4620 2021 · Flood · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • EM-3442 2020 · Biological · Covid-19
  • DR-4524 2020 · Biological · Covid-19 Pandemic
  • EM-3307 2010 · Severe Storm · Severe Winter Storm
  • DR-1888 2010 · Severe Storm · Severe Winter Storms And Flooding
  • DR-1660 2006 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • FM-2642 2006 · Fire · Potato Fire
  • EM-3241 2005 · Hurricane · Hurricane Katrina Evacuation
  • DR-1581 2004 · Severe Storm · Severe Storms And Flooding
  • FM-2478 2003 · Fire · Kinishba Fire

Not counted above: 32 statewide declarations, which covered every county in Arizona. A declaration is a decision to send federal help, not a measure of how bad an event was. Records run from 1953. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries.

Storms recorded by NOAA, by type

NOAA storm event records for Navajo County, 1996 to 2026, by event type
Event typeRecordsDeathsInjuriesProperty damage
High Wind356217$266K
Heavy Snow27120$0
Flash Flood11300$75K
Dust Storm8200$60K
Hail5300$0
Heavy Rain5300$1K
Winter Storm5280$0
Wildfire4100$117.0M
Flood3110$67K
Funnel Cloud2200$0
Thunderstorm Wind2200$7K
Tornado2000$10K
Dense Fog1000$0
Excessive Heat800$0
Cold/Wind Chill500$0
Lightning524$60K
Winter Weather400$0
Avalanche300$0
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill300$110K
Ice Storm220$0
Debris Flow100$0
Strong Wind100$8K

Records start in 1996. Damage is NOAA's estimate at the time, in nominal dollars, and is often rounded; it is not insurance claims data. A storm that crossed two NOAA zones in this county is recorded, and counted, once per zone. A storm filed against a forecast zone is counted in every county that zone covers, with the whole storm's damage; do not add these figures across counties.

Year by year

NOAA storm event records in Navajo County each year. The busiest year was 2010, with 75 records.

Show the numbers for every year
NOAA storm event records in Navajo County by year
YearRecordsDeathsProperty damage
1996170$0
1997293$12K
1998180$0
1999152$27K
2000235$0
2001270$0
2002200$0
2003240$0
2004270$66K
2005262$10K
2006502$9K
2007310$60K
2008430$30K
2009651$101K
2010750$160K
2011550$58.1M
2012450$0
2013491$0
2014400$8K
2015410$1K
2016350$0
2017430$0
2018390$50.0M
2019370$9.0M
2020190$0
2021620$0
2022630$30K
2023581$0
2024370$0
2025280$0
2026170$0

Years with no record are left out of the table, not shown as zero.

Notable events

Costliest records

  1. Wildfire · Jun 1, 2011$58.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 318290
  2. Wildfire · Apr 28, 2018$50.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 744124
  3. Wildfire · Jul 21, 2019$9.0M
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 838601
  4. High Wind · Mar 26, 2009$100K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 158041
  5. High Wind · Apr 28, 2010$100K
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 225311

Deadliest records

  1. Winter Storm · Mar 20, 20005 deaths
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5135652
  2. Winter Storm · Jan 12, 19972 deaths
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5584769
  3. High Wind · Mar 31, 19992 deaths
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · $25K damage · NOAA record 5688043
  4. Heavy Snow · Jan 3, 20052 deaths
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5438693
  5. Ice Storm · Jan 25, 20062 deaths
    NOAA name: NWS forecast zone · NOAA record 5486153

Each line is one NOAA record, linked to its page at NOAA. One large storm can appear more than once if NOAA recorded it in several zones of this county. Dollars are nominal.

Flood insurance claims (NFIP)

The National Flood Insurance Program paid $971K on 106 claims in Navajo County from 1978 to 2024.

Years with the most NFIP claims in Navajo County
YearClaimsPaid
197837$309K
199318$305K
20066$71K
20075$67K
20174$0

A count of claims, not a rate: NFIP publishes no count of insured homes beside it, and most flood damage is uninsured. Nominal dollars. Records run from 1978 to 2024; claims filed without a county code are not on any county page. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims.

Hazard vulnerability analysis: the probability column for a facility in Navajo County

A hazard vulnerability analysis rates each hazard for probability, impact, preparedness and response. Probability is the one column the county’s federal record can fill — NCEI storm events from 1996 to 2026 and FEMA declarations naming the county — and this is what it says for a facility here, on the 0–3 scale of the all-hazards structure surveyors expect. The other six columns are the facility’s own judgment about its building, and Calchis leaves them blank.

HazardProb.Basis, from the county record
Severe Thunderstorm380 NCEI events over 31 years (2.58/yr). 4 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Flood, External3197 NCEI events over 31 years (6.35/yr). 7 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Snow Fall / Blizzard / Ice Storm3329 NCEI events over 31 years (10.61/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Wild Fire341 NCEI events over 31 years (1.32/yr). 6 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
High Wind (non-convective)3357 NCEI events over 31 years (11.52/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Hurricane / Tropical Storm2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Tornado220 NCEI events over 31 years (0.65/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Temperature Extremes216 NCEI events over 31 years (0.52/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Drought2No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. 1 federal disaster declaration naming the county.
Landslide24 NCEI events over 31 years (0.13/yr). No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Epidemic22 federal disaster declarations naming the county.
Earthquake1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Tidal Wave / Tsunami1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Volcano1No events of this kind on the county's NCEI record over 31 years. No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.
Dam Inundation1No federal disaster declaration of this kind has named the county.

A dash means the record does not speak to that hazard; it is not a zero. Whether a finished document satisfies the CMS Emergency Preparedness Rule is the facility’s finding and its surveyor’s. Complete the HVA for a facility in Navajo County — the technological, human and hazardous-materials rows, the six facility columns, the approval and the printed document — or read the sample analysis on that page first.

How this page was made

  • Every figure is counted from public federal records held by Calchis: NOAA NCEI Storm Events, FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, and FEMA NFIP claims. Nothing is modeled or estimated.
  • NOAA files some events against a county and others against an NWS forecast zone, and publishes a code for both. Records are counted as Navajo County by that code — county records by the county's own FIPS code, zone records through the National Weather Service's published list of which counties each zone covers. No name matching is involved. Of 1,158 records, 322 were filed against this county and 836 against a forecast zone covering it. A zone storm is counted in every county its zone covers, and its damage figure is the whole storm's, not this county's share — NOAA does not publish that split. So these figures describe this county; they must not be added up across counties. Left out: 6% of Arizona's NOAA records, which are marine zones or zones NWS does not map to a county.
  • Counts last rebuilt from the source records on Sep 15, 2026.

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Recorded history from federal public records. Not a hazard score, a risk score, or a forecast, and not a substitute for professional actuarial or emergency-management assessment. Decision-support intelligence — not a primary alerting or dispatch system. Verify against official sources.